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Bulletins and News Discussion from September 23rd to September 29th, 2024 - The War In The North

Image is of a Hezbollah missile attack on a military camp west of Jenin.


The situation between Hezbollah and Israel is rapidly escalating, with massive bombing campaigns on southern Lebanon by Israel predominantly on civilians (as the tunnels in South Lebanon are mostly unreachable to the Zionists, just like in Gaza), while Hezbollah and its allies respond with missile attacks predominantly on Israeli military facilities. Israel is spreading an evacuation order to the residents of southern Lebanese villages while also bombing their routes of escape and civilian infrastructure, similar to a terror tactic used widely in Gaza.

Northern Israel is currently under military censorship to hide their losses, so we get very little information other than what the Resistance provides and what videos and images get through the censors.

I don't know if Israel will dare a ground incursion soon, but it seems fairly likely in the coming days or weeks.


Please check out the HexAtlas!

The bulletins site is here!
The RSS feed is here.
Last week's thread is here.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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  • Bu-bu-but I thought pissrael had destroyed one million trillion Hezbollah launchers?

    • Yeah, they made these sorts of grandiose claims during the 2006 war against Hezbollah, that they'd taken out half of Hezbollah's missiles before they even fired them, etc. Although, Israel did eventually win that war, so you do kinda have to take their claims somewh-- hang on, sorry, getting a voice in my ear. Ah. Oh. Well, correction. Uh, Israel actually lost that war, it turns out, against a Hezbollah that was an order of magnitude less powerful than it currently is. Well, uh, maybe Hezbollah's somehow gotten less good at pre-empting Israeli strikes? Hang on, sorry, getting another voice in my ear. Oh. Right.

      • I swear for the defeatists on the site, Israel could claim that every Hezbollah commander is currently afflicted with Peepee-Poopooitis and shits their pants every 10 minutes and they'd go "fuck. well, how do we think this massive setback will impact the Resistance? seems likely that they will have to surrender in a few weeks."

        and we'd go "what the hell are you talking about? they're just making shit up again, that's not even a real disease."

        and they'd go "look, I'm as unhappy as you are about this development but we can't just sit back and cope about these things. we're communists, not reddit liberals, we need to make sure we see and analyze information that may inconvenience us if we're going to be serious. anybody know what Marx had to say about Peepee-Poopooitis?"

        and we'd go "no, like, this literally isn't true. it's demonstrably not true. here's evidence. just because Israeli propaganda is trying to make you think that the information they're spreading is objective, it doesn't actually make it objectively true, it's still just propaganda. they aren't going to attach a label to their articles that says "this is propaganda, by the way!", they're going to try and convince you with every single technique in their arsenal to make you believe it's true."

        and they'd go "oh, what are you gonna do, ban me for wrongthink against the Peepee-Poopooitis scourge? stop huffing that copium. honestly I'm even beginning to think that Iran and Russia might have to surrender too because what if Peepee-Poopooitis spreads to them? see, I've even got a long article by the American Institute of War and the Objective Analysis of Peepee-Poopooitis proving that it's not only real, but spreading across the world. oh fuck, it's also hit the Chinese government."

        and we'd go "this is literally hasbara, dude. half the authors behind that AIWOAPP study are directly connected to the Israeli government, and the other half were on Epstein's island. it's not a real problem. they spread the same propaganda about Peepee-Poopooitis during the 2006 war, and the wars before that, and they weren't real then."

        and they'd go "well, we've spent the last few days on the megathread discussing the Scourge of Peepee-Poopooitis (see, it's now got a capitalized title, it HAS to be true now) with hundreds of comments on it, so it must have some degree of truthfulness. but okay, maybe the latest Hezbollah attacks do show it was an exaggeration. ...hey, it seems like there's a new article by the NYT that reveals that every Russian general is just crying and puking all the time, it's really getting in the way of their operations."

        and we'd go "this is the exact same narrative as the Peepee-Poopooitis, just reworked with different symptoms! they're just reusing it for a different geopolitical situation!"

        and they'd go "nah, I never actually believed in Peepee-Poopooitis, that was obviously silly. but THIS time around, it might actually be real, and we can't be huffing that copium and hopium and insisting that it isn't just because we don't like it!"

        and we'd go "why don't we just wait for the official response of Hezbollah/Russia/Iran/China/etc to the ongoing situation? they'd explain what's going on clearly, and if what's happening is real, which it still very obviously isn't."

        and they'd go "oh, what, and believe a BIASED account from one of the parties in the conflict?! of course they're not going to report their own problems with accuracy, they have a motive! you really are gullible. anyway, here's another report, this time by the This Is Literally A Propaganda Outlet Of the Israeli State Organization, an esteemed and unbiased thinktank which produces hourly articles on these sorts of issues. Hezbollah can take an entire DAY to write up a statement, whereas these guys absolutely flood my inbox every single day with analysis, so it must be better because I have to instantly react to every single geopolitical event, or how will people know that I'm a very intelligent geopolitical analyst?"

        and on it goes, for over 2 years. they get to look like the world-weary grizzled cynical adults in the room for believing every piece of bad news and catastrophizing about how it means the imminent global collapse of anti-imperial resistance, and we get cast as the copium-overdosers who are ignoring reality and creating echo chambers because we don't want to hear any bad news, even though we're generally right when we say "this either isn't really a problem that exists, or it is a problem but it can be overcome" and they're generally wrong

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