The average long-term U.S. mortgage rate jumped this week to its highest level in 20 years
The average long-term U.S. mortgage rate climbed this week to its highest level in more than 20 years, grim news for would-be homebuyers already challenged by a housing market that remains competitive due to a dearth of homes for sale.
I understand your math but I think the better view would be "what are the monthly payments at each point in time (no inflation) and how many of hours of work per month based on the median income of the time?".
Based on that the 1980 house would have a payment of $731/month. Median income was $21,020, which is about $10.11/hour. So it would take about 72 work hours a month to pay for a home.
The current rates yield a monthly payment of $3,107. Median income is $56,940, which is about $27.37/hour. So now it would take 113.5 hours a month to pay for a home, an increase of almost 57%.
To make it even worse, there are usually only 160 work hours a month, so that means you have to work 71% of a month just to pay for an "average" house and mortgage. I'm not even factoring in taxes or any other expenses.
That is way too much for anywhere. I’m amazed that people don’t move to the Philadelphia suburbs where I am, because 800k can buy you a small mansion - at least 5k sq ft. About 90 minutes away from NYC, NJ beaches, or poconos skiing, never too far from a regional rail connection straight into the city. And compared to the Midwest the winters are milder, compared to the south the summers are cooler, compared to the west coast there’s no looming existential dread of everything collapsing in an earthquake or consumed by a wildfire or no water because of drought.