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I feel this.
I've finally ordered new hardware, last of it gets here this weekend. I've made a choice of a distro to start, but if I'm like everyone else here, it's just a start. 💀
Either way I'm excited to join the revolution. I knew a long time ago I would never continue with Windows after 10 turned into a disaster. I mean it always has its problems, but I never looked too far into switching because I was locked in with games. Since I knew I would never give in to sullying myself with 11, there was a ticking clock until 10's EoL date as a deadline.
Made the jump sooner than I thought. Can't wait to try it out for real.
Had a dual boot I tinkered with back when Ubuntu was on version 6 point something, whatever "Edgy Eft" was. Poked around in a VM a lil bit about a year and a half ago, can't remember what distro that was, but never dug in as a daily driver, since I mainly use the computer to play games.
But now I get to try it for real.
Choose your desktop, that's the thing you'll work with the most and could get in your way the most. Any 'living' distribution with an installer that fits your needs and delivers your chosen desktop out of the box will do. You'll learn later if the distribution and community suit you, and if you back up your user directory you can easily migrate distributions without changing the look of your system.
I kinda did that accidentally. Plasma seems pretty powerful and customizable, so I went with that first.
I think these are good points - desktop environment will be the most immediately impactful choice; then once you're settled a little into the Linux way you might start making choices about the package manager, eco-system and community philosophy.
But as you said, take your home directory with you and switching or exploring a little isn't a pain at all.
You'll have such a bad start choosing Mint when you don't like Cinnamon, this approach prevents that. They do a lot of things right for beginners/low maintainers but only if you can live with their desktop.
Good luck! I've been using Linux on my main rig since December when I challenged myself to use it exclusively for an entire month. I only boot into Windows to play Valorant every now and then.