100% Chance
Link to the original article:
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-10-17/forecast-for-us-recession-within-year-hits-100-in-blow-to-biden
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Never trust financial institutions opinions
Especially when they are political wishes masquerading as economic predictions. It is pretty clear that some powerful interests really want a recession because they think that will help their fascist clown win against.