Bulletins and News Discussion from March 11th to March 17th, 2024 - It's Eurover - COTW: Portugal
Bulletins and News Discussion from March 11th to March 17th, 2024 - It's Eurover - COTW: Portugal
This year really is just gonna be us swinging from election to election, I suppose. I feel Lenin's beaming red eyes on me.
Up next on our electoral tour is Portugal. The current government - a coalition of the center-left Socialists and the center-right Social Democrats - has been mired in corruption scandals, resulting in a general election being called a mere two years after the last one. The fascist and vaguely populist Chega party has gained significant support over the last two years due to the economic hardships. Yesterday, the Social Democrats secured a narrow win of 79 seats compared to the Socialists' 77. Chega, in third place at 48, would appear to be the best candidate for a coalition, though the leader of the Social Democrats has said that they would refuse a coalition with them due to their xenophobic views. Regardless, the fascist surge is worrying, if expected.
Portugal's economy is going pretty badly even as European countries go, with little growth in productivity or investment over the last decade. The origins of this crisis date back to Portugal making the euro their national currency in the early 2000s, thus surrendering their ability to control their own currency, becoming reliant on investment from Germany and France, and suffering greatly in the 2012 European debt crisis. Unemployment and low wages spurred emigration; in 2013, the youth employment rate was about 40%; this has only come down to 25% recently and is increasing again. The government is heavily reliant on debt for public spending, with a debt-to-GDP ratio skyrocketing to over 100% in the two decades since the turn of the millennium. The capitalist sector is simply not profitable enough and hasn't been for 40 years, which is only a problem if you are a capitalist economy. For more on the Portuguese economy, check out Michael Roberts' recent analysis, from which I obtained a lot of this information.
Inside Portugal is the same story playing out across much of Europe. A failing center or center-left political party, unable to cope with the economic troubles of the last few years due to absolute obedience to neoliberal policies. A fascist party rising, but with no alternative economic plan, hoping that perhaps oppressing minorities and going after "wokeism" will make their God, The Economy, rain blessings down on them again.
The COTW (Country of the Week) label is designed to spur discussion and debate about a specific country every week in order to help the community gain greater understanding of the domestic situation of often-understudied nations. If you've wanted to talk about the country or share your experiences, but have never found a relevant place to do so, now is your chance! However, don't worry - this is still a general news megathread where you can post about ongoing events from any country.
The Country of the Week is Portugal! Feel free to chime in with books, essays, longform articles, even stories and anecdotes or rants. More detail here.
The bulletins site is here!
The RSS feed is here.
Last week's thread is here.
Israel-Palestine Conflict
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA daily-ish reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news (and has automated posting when the person running it goes to sleep).
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.
Various sources that are covering the Ukraine conflict are also covering the one in Palestine, like Rybar.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Sources:
Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
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What impact (if any) does the carnation revolution have on modern Portuguese society?
How is the revolution remembered and used politically today? Are chuds nostalgic for the Estato Novo or do they claim to represent the true non-woke values of the revolution? Are liberals embracing a harmless Disneyfied version of the revolution or are they clutching their pearls over how people back then went too far and how they should have just voted harder and been more civil?
I know that the word "socialism" was written into the constitution but does it mean anything? Is it something chuds gets mad about? Are neoliberals going "well ackshually my plan of giving tax credits to Pell grant recipients who operates a successful business in underserved neighborhoods counts as constitutionality mandated socialism"? Or is it simply a historic curiosity?
And lastly, how does the revolution inspire leftists today?
How is the revolution remembered and used politically today?
A few years ago the mainstream right was doing the harmless Disneyfied version thing you mentioned. They would say the revolution gave us "freedom and democracy" and belongs to everyone, not just the left.
Nowadays they are getting more and more mask off about it. Chuds are embracing Estado Novo nostalgia and liberals frequently undermine the revolution by saying November 25th was just as important (minor revolt by some leftist troops that was put down by the government, but they act like it was an attempted communist coup to destroy Freedom™ and turn us into Cuba (
)). The right pretty much despises the entire 1974-1975 revolutionary period as some kind of barely averted communist dictatorship because some bougie fascists lost their factories.I know that the word "socialism" was written into the constitution but does it mean anything?
No, it's a historic curiosity. But neoliberals use that and the fact that the Socialist party has "socialist" in the name to pretend like we've had 50 years of uninterrupted socialism and that's why the economy is bad, because socialism doesn't work. It's absolute baby brained shit but lots of younger people are buying into it.
And lastly, how does the revolution inspire leftists today?
References to April 25 are very common in Portuguese left wing politics. The Communist Party is especially fond of them. But it's a somewhat bittersweet feeling, as most of the more radical demands and experiments from that period were abandoned over time and what remains is heavily weakened by decades of neoliberal creep.
What impact (if any) does the carnation revolution have on modern Portuguese society?
Well most of the material gains of the revolution (nationalizations, workers comissions and such) were reversed in the following decades so what remains is mostly cultural memory and obviously the fact that we're not a dictatorship anymore.
How is the revolution remembered and used politically today?
By the center-left and right it's not really remembered as a revolution, because the 1974-1976 period was tumultuous and, well revolutionary, they just remember the 25th of april coup and view the revolution itself and psychosis. To the left it is a revolution and we try to use that politically by harkening back to the freedom people had to do stuff like control their workplaces and other things, to limited effect because people nowadays simply don't care about radical shit like that.
Are chuds nostalgic for the Estato Novo or do they claim to represent the true non-woke values of the revolution?
Both kinda, they can't state the former outright but it's there in some people and the later they don't talk about values they just say bad people have been in power since the revolution.
Are liberals embracing a harmless Disneyfied version of the revolution
Yes, although nowadays a self identified "Liberal" here, because of the new market radical liberal party, would probably say that the revolution was actually a dictatorship and that there was only democracy in 76 after the first parliament elections.
I know that the word "socialism" was written into the constitution but does it mean anything?
It means what it meant at the time it was put there, although since the constitution, even though it has a lot of good stuff there that should be defended (especially when the right and center want to take shit out), was a negotiated settlement of the political forces at the time you could say that the socialist party and the social democratic party never meant real socialism when they put it there. Nowadays both the socialist party and a new eurocuck green party just define socialism as being the welfare state basically so to them it doesn't matter.
Is it something chuds gets mad about?
They don't like it, and I think now there might be a qualified right wing majority in parliament to do pretty heavy constitutional revisions...
Are neoliberals going ...
Nah
And lastly, how does the revolution inspire leftists today?
Not sure how to answer this, I mean it probably works like any other thing that inspires leftists, when it's politically useful we might use the music, slogans, ideas, history and memory of the revolution to gather political support today.