‘He’s realizing that he could lose’: the Trump campaign is panicking

I think Trump will win narrowly. Allan Lichtman predicted Kamala but I think some of his arguments for his keys to the white house being/not being turned are shaky.

I think Trump will win because I disagree with Lichtman's judgement on a few keys:

1. The No Social Unrest key is False. We seem to be forgetting Jan 6th.
2. No Scandal key is False. I'd say the incumbent president losing his marbles during a presidential debate and being too senile to move forward is pretty scandalous, also everything surrounding Hunter Biden.
3. Good short/long term economy is a toss-up. I can't really say that having a huge national deficit, high inflation and awful living standards in real terms counts, even if America technically isn't in recession.
4. Foreign/military success is a toss-up. I wouldn't count NATO rallying around Ukraine as that.
5. Even if you disregard Gaza, the US pulling out of Afghanistan and watching as the Taliban retook the whole country within hours counts as a military failure.