Trump now leads Harris by 9 points over at the Polymarket election forecast
Trump now leads Harris by 9 points over at the Polymarket election forecast
2024 Presidential Election Predictions. Trust markets, not presidential polls. Live and accurate forecasts by the world's largest prediction market.
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The realclearpolitics one is also good, because it averages odds from a few different betting markets.
Oh I haven't seen that one. The roughly 50/50 split does seem about right to me though because it's what we saw in the past two elections as well. Basically, the the mainstream in the country is split into two camps at this point. Most people either buy into the republican or the democrat narrative. And it's a whole ideology at this point, so people aren't voting on particular issues or promises that parties makes. It's about which vision of US people subscribe to, and that's becoming more polarized over time.
The election coverage this year has been really funny, they push debates like its a netflix show. Gotta pump up the viewership numbers for their favorite sports contest.
it's so cringe
The League of Women Voters sponsored the United States presidential debates in 1976, 1980 and 1984.[60][61] On October 2, 1988, the LWV's 14 trustees voted unanimously to pull out of the debates, and on October 3 they issued a press release condemning the demands of the major candidates' campaigns. LWV President Nancy Neuman said that the debate format would "perpetrate a fraud on the American voter" and that the organization did not intend to "become an accessory to the hoodwinking of the American public."[62][63]