Everyone shitting on AI so let's put a reality check on it.
Presuming things develop as they do rn, AIs are really good at producing images of high quality and clips of low quality. They are capable of producing music clips of low quality. They are capable of text to speech while simulating specific voices and converting one voice into the other while maintaining pitch and characteristics. They are able to create medium-size texts.
AIs are currently unable to create longer low quality videos or shorter high quality clips. They are unable to create songs. They are unable to create isolated sound design or synthesize voices from scratch. They are unable to create cohesive publications or story scripts.
From what I can tell, there are no indications for AI to replace most creative jobs. The only thing they will replace are jobs that do not require creativity but that do require a lot of repetitive processes. That is a plus in my book.
I think the hype around AI is overblown, but I also think the dystopian outlook on AI is overblown as well.
AI is just a tool. It can be just as good or as bad as anyone who's using it is, and we already have that with the internet itself. I don't think this will completely change our everyday life in a big way, just a few more annoyances in one part of our lives, and a few less in another.
That said, even if it's not world changing, it will be important to get to know how it works, and that's more out of convenience, and less out of necessity.
All the points you made about AI are correct, currently. 5-10 years ago you would have been laughed at to say that AI would do the things it can do now., even if it is mediocre compared to professionals in the field.
Arguing that AI isn't that good ignores the acceleration of improvement AI has undergone. In another 5-10 years where will we be? It isn't going to stay the same as it is now. The current AI capabilities aren't going to stay where they are now. There is only improvement to made.
If we've come this far in less than 10 years, I'd bet that in the next 10 everyone is going to be surprised at what AI can do.
1 year ago we had Will Smith eating spaghetti and a never ending Friends episode. Today we have a company sending $25 million to fraudsters.
You're on the right track but I think your timeline is off. I'm guessing in a year or 2 AI can make a full Pixar movie.
AI is really good right now and it's getting better faster than anyone anticipated. This went from hypothetical to reality seemingly overnight. Nobody is ready. The fallout will be huge.
It's not about where ai is right now. I think the problems is where it's headed.
Ai is going to get better in a similar trajectory to how digital storage hardware has gone since the first CD-ROM or there abouts give or take a decade
If you haven't yet seen it This video might be worth the time