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Bulletins and News Discussion from May 19th to May 25th, 2025 - The Beginning of the End of the Monroe Doctrine

Or perhaps the end of the beginning, if you're a little more pessimistic.


Image is from this Bloomberg article, from which I also gathered some of the information used in the preamble.


While Trump was off in the Middle East in an incompetent attempt to solve a geopolitical and humanitarian crisis, China has been doing something much more productive.

Chinese officials, including Xi Jinping, had a summit with CELAC (a community of 33 Latin American and Caribbean countries). There, he promised investment, various declarations of friendship, and visa-free entry for 30 days for citizens of Brazil, Argentina, Chile, Peru and Uruguay. Lula signed over 30 agreements with China. Colombia is joining the New Development Bank and hopes to gain the money for a 120-kilometer railway connecting the Atlantic and Pacific coasts as an alternative route to the Panama Canal. Even Argentina, ruled by arch-libertarian and arch-dipshit (but I repeat myself) Milei, was uncharacteristically polite with China as he secured a currency swap renewal to shore up their international reserves.

It wouldn't really be correct to say that Latin America is "siding with China over the US" - leaders in the region will continue to make many deals with America for the foreseeable future, and even Trump's bizarre economic strongman routine won't make them break off economic and diplomatic relations. What's significant here is that despite increasing American pressure for those leaders to break off all ties with China, few appear to be listening - and given that China is perhaps the most important economy on the planet right now, that is a very predictable outcome.

As the current American empire takes actions to try and avoid their doom, those very actions only guarantee it. As Latin America grows ever more interconnected with China and continues to develop, America will grow ever more panicked and demanding, and this feedback loop will - eventually - result in the death of the Monroe Doctrine.


Last week's thread is here. The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

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  • Russia just launched one of the largest large scale air attacks of the entire Ukraine war a few hours ago, after yesterday's attack involving 14 ballistic missiles (Iskander-M/KN-23) and 250 Geran/Shahed drones and decoys.

    Tonight's attack involved the use of 9 Tu-95M and 3 Tu-160 strategic bombers launching Kh-101 subsonic cruise missiles, Su-57 stealth aircraft launching Kh-69 stealth subsonic cruise missiles, ships in the black sea launching dozens of Kalibr cruise missiles, potentially dozens of Iskander M, Kn-23 and Iskander-1000 ground launched ballistic missiles, along with the usual Geran/Shahed drones and decoys. So a massive attack. No Kinzhal air launched ballistic missiles from MiG-31K aircraft, preliminary reports of long range ballistic missile strikes beyond the range of the usual Iskander M suggest that Iskander-1000 has taken up the role usually fulfilled by the Kinzhal.

    The air raid is still continuing, with Tu-22M3 bombers launching Kh-32/22 supersonic cruise missiles.

    There has been a large redeployment and repositioning of Russian Air Force and Ministry of Defence transport aircraft, flying away from Moscow during the Russian attack. Ukraine also launched a drone attack on Moscow, so it's likely to do with that.

    Amk mapping telegram, provides a good English translation of Russian and Ukrainian sources

  • I spoke to some people working in executive positions for small to medium-sized Danish naval contractors recently. They told me that five years ago all the people from the industry were gathered by the navy for meetings on constructing new patrol ships. Many people drew large salaries for going to a lot of meetings. Nothing has been built yet. Now they're starting over from scratch, this time not just to build patrol ships but to build an entire new navy. Many people are drawing large salaries to go to a lot of meetings again.

    The regime wants to build the new navy domestically. However, and these executives were very aware of this, the capacity to build large ships doesn't exist in the west anymore. The large shipyards have all been closed down and converted to other uses and even though Denmark still has a capacity for maritime engineering, design and architecture, the skilled workers needed to actually build the ships are not there anymore. And even if they were, nobody would want to pay a couple of hundred of them the salaries they would have to. There's a reason why ship building was outsourced in the first place.

    The regime plans to get around this by letting a hundred subcontractors bloom, each building parts of the new ships in different locations. Then all the parts are going to be gathered in the harbour of Esbjerg and welded together there. The executives didn't think much of that idea. They thought that the way to get around having to employ 300 ship builders is to sprinkle the magic fairy dust of technology on the new naval shipyard, somehow using robotics and the line to reduce the number of workers to a hundred.

    I don't think their idea of robotic domestic shipyards is that much less delusional than the one-piece-at-the-time scheme imagined by the regime. As if Asian shipyards were not already using robotics where possible. Also, unlike the west, China and other Asian countries have an actual shipbuilding industry that can be leveraged to develop new fancy high-tech solutions, the west doesn't.

  • CNTE protests in Mexico City: What are the teachers asking for, what have they been given, and how are the negotiations going? Hexbear Post

    Tensions between teachers from the National Coordinator of Education Workers (CNTE) and the government have reached a critical point. After a week of protests, including the blockade of Mexico City's main thoroughfares and the closure of access to the National Palace prior to President Claudia Sheinbaum's morning press conference, the teachers' union remains steadfast in demanding the repeal of the 2007 ISSSTE Law. Meanwhile, authorities have limited themselves to describing this reform implemented by Felipe Calderón as an "injustice." However, they maintain that there is insufficient funding to completely reverse it or implement a new pension system under the conditions demanded by the CNTE.

    Venezuela’s 2025 Legislative and Regional Elections: A Quick Guide - Venezuelanalysis Hexbear Post

    Venezuelans return to the polls on Sunday, May 25, to elect a new National Assembly, governors for 24 states, and regional legislative councils. This is the 32nd electoral event under the Bolivarian Revolution.

    With their respective terms ending on January 5, 2026, the Venezuelan Constitution determines that a new National Assembly (AN) and regional authorities must be chosen this year. The unusually early date leaves room for other elections later in the year, including municipal contests and a potential constitutional reform.

    In addition, the electorate will also pick governors for the 24 states and 260 members of regional legislative councils. Regional officials serve four-year terms.

  • Moon of Alabama is having some hot take today in light of the Denmark raising retirement age: Chinese Work Less For Longer Retirements

    China’s new retirement age for males born in 1970/12 is 61.5, and females is 55.25. With life expectancy 81.5 🇩🇰 vs 79 🇨🇳 and China’s much longer working hours (2450 hrs vs 🇩🇰 1563), Chinese work 4600 hours for 1 year of retirement, while Danes need to work for 6500 hours.

    This calculation assumed Chinese start working at 20 years old and Danes start at 22 years old to account for higher education level in Denmark. Average retirement age 58.4 is assumed in China, just an average of male/female retirement ages.

    So 🇨🇳 worked for 38.4 * 2450=94000 hrs in exchange of 20.6 yrs; 🇩🇰 worked for 48 * 1563=75000 hrs, retire for 11.5 yrs.

    Obviously, the austerity policy in Europe is bad and the raising of retirement age is inevitable with the impending economic difficulties under neoliberalism, but the comparison with China (of all countries!) is quite another level of galaxy brain.

    Average annual work hours by country:


    (Top entry is Chinese internet companies that implement 996 work hours)

    If you are between 20-40 years old, would you rather:

    1. Work an average of 48 hours per week (much higher if you work in some 996 companies) with 0.5-1 day weekend, 5 days of paid annual leave (10 if you have worked for 10 years, 15 if you have worked for 20 years), no free healthcare, no social safety nets, but you get to retire at 60 (going up to 63, for men) or 55 (going up to 58, for women). Also take into account that once retired, a large portion of your 五险一金 (five insurances and one fund) payout is going to be spent on your aging health expenses since there is no free healthcare.

    or

    1. Work an average of 35 hours per week with at least 2-day weekend, 25 days (5 weeks) of paid annual leave, free universal healthcare and supported by strong social safety nets, but now you have to work until you are 70.

    Which one will you choose?

  • Former portuguese and current president of the EU council went to the Ivory Coast to receive the UNESCO Peace Prize for....doing nothing I guess? He got 150k with it, 132k of which he donated to the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees, which is nice.

    He also had this photo taken while he was there. Pretty weird to be in portugal rn where the political situation is so fucked (partly because of him) and to see Costa go around doing sidequests and unlocking new outfits

  • US bipartisanship: On May 19, Trump’s State Department offered a $10M reward for info on Hezbollah near the triple border. Then Marco Rubio pushed for Itaipu dam power to fuel US AI. Next day, NYT ran a bizarre 'Russian spies in Brazil' story, debunked by the Justice Minister. This comes on the heels of Bill S. 842: No Hezbollah In Our Hemisphere Act, submitted by Senators John Curtis (R) and Jacky Rosen (D) on March 4. If it passes, Trump will have the power to declare countries like Brazil, Colombia and Venezuela as "terrorist sanctuaries.".

    After New York Times publishes an article claiming Brazil's Federal Police have uncovered a Russian spy network, Justice Minister Ricardo Lewondowski debunks the story. "There is no concrete evidence that there is a large scale spy network here, from Russia or anywhere else.

    "Our authorities in the military, the police and the national intelligence agency (ABIN) monitor this. Everything is operating normally." At a press conference at Interpol's 4th meeting with South American police chiefs, he said there is one, isolated case, which is currently being analyzed by the Supreme Court. "The Brazilian government will act in accordance with the Court's ruling in this case," he said. "Unless there is evidence of criminal activity, this is not a matter for the Federal Police to intervene in."

    The NYT is the voice of the Democratic Party. Democrats always work together with the Republicans in Latin American politics.

  • Last night, a third ballistic missile over a 24 hour period was launched from Yemen towards Israel. The missile was likely intercepted outside of Israel by the Arrow 3 midcourse interception system, given there was no footage of a missile or interception over Israel. However, the air raid sirens in Israel were still sounded.

  • Portugal's post election update.

    With the votes from abroad not yet counted and with the likelyhood of the far-right CH obtaining 2 MPs more than the center-left PS and becoming the largest opposition party looming, the effects of the left's historic defeat and the far-right's rise last sunday are still being felt. Here's what all the main actors are up to.

    The communists didn't rest on their laurels and immediately held a bunch of rallies right after the elections, its affiliated organizations are also still active, they've also already stated they'll propose a vote against the government's budget right away once parliament starts (which will clarify how he PS and CH will handle the center-right's minority government), the idea seems to be to give despairing leftists hope that there are people still fighting the right and inspire them to join. Hey, it worked with me, I did join after a moment like this but it was in 2022 when the PS got a historic absolute majority, I thought that was bad enough, and now they're basically in third place, funny how life works.

    The post-trot demsoc BE, once having elected 19 MPs in 2019, is still reeling from having only electing its party leader, she basically blamed the "global right-wing shift" (which portugal has definetily joined) for the party's poor result. I maintain that their situation is very fucked, with a disloyal soft left of the party easily going to the europhile pro-war greens and a loyal hard left of the party too historically resentful of the "Stalinist" (according to them) communists to support their coalition, a shame because they still got 100k votes and a lot of activists that could be very useful.

    The PS general secretary, who was from the left-wing of the party even though he ran a very centrist campaign, resigned and since only 1 guy ran for his job, he got it. A man named Carneiro will be leading the socialists, however in portuguese "Carneiro" means "sheep" and is also slang for "cuckold" or "someone who sheepishly follows orders", so following nominative determinism (WHICH IS REAL

    ) this man will never become prime minister. A Starmer-like figure (minus the transphobia hopefully) he's made it clear that the party wants to form an informal "central block" with the center-right AD minority government for stability and to allow with to govern without having to depend on the far-right for parliamentary votes.

    About that though...the AD which for years maintained a "no means no" stance regarding collaborating with the far-right now has revised that to mean "no only means no...regarding the far-right joining government", they've opened the door to working with them in parliament, and even worse on possibly constitutional revisions. The right now has a 2/3 majority which means for the first time they don't need the PS to revise the constitution and the far-right could possibly have a say. The liberals are already building a proposal to remove the "ideological charge" of the constitution, which was written in the aftermath of the revolution in 75 and has already been revised a few times (like to remove the un-reversability of nationalizations and stuff)

    Oh and the public prosecutor, which has publicly announced they were investigating several politicians in the past few years, even during campaign season, but so far haven't charged anyone, only NOW has said that they're asking for further documents from the PM's private business dealings and that ONLY NOW AFTER YEARS OF THIS SHIT they're FINALLY investigating the far-right's leader for "incitement of hatred" over 1 video he recently posted complaining about roma people, I doubt anything will come of it though.

    It kinda feels like germany's situation a few years ago.

    A dominant center-right in power.

    A far-right being toe to toe with an increasingly centrist center-left, gaining ground on historically far-left regions on basically just anti-migrant discourse, shut out of government so it can always be in the opposition and with a lot of low education voters. With the key difference that unlike in germany the far-right here is a 1 man show and very personalistic.

    A market-fundamentalist liberal party that pollutes discourse with easy solutions and can basically always be in the opposition (they've since lost their seats in germany but that won't happen here since there's no electoral treshold) and is very popular among well-to-do young people.

    A socially liberal pro-war green party working as a stop-gap between the center-left and the far-left.

    On the far-left is where I think there are the most differences, since Die Linke has definitely become a "normal"-ish party, pro-nato if a bit reluctantly, pro arms-shipments to ukraine and not very anti-israel.

    Well portuguese people are always talking about how we suck and should be more like germany so there you go.

  • Two ballistic missiles launched from Yemen towards Israel over the past 24 hours. A Rezvan/Zulfiqar ballistic missile last night, intercepted by Arrow 3, with debris seen flying over Israel. The second missile was a Fattah-1 during the day, with parts of it intercepted by the David's Sling system. A piece of the booster stage was found in Israel. Booster stages still have the inertia from the initial launch, so they can travel in space and often land somewhere near the target.

    Fattah-1 booster stage:

    David's Sling interceptor:

    Zulfiqar/Rezvan debris on video:

    Statements from the Yemeni Armed Forces:

    Update to the naming conventions:

    • Unnamed Hypersonic Ballistic Missile = Fattah-1
    • Palestine-2 = Fattah-1/Kheibar-Shekan hybrid variant.
    • Palestine-1 = Kheibar Shekan-2.
    • Hatem-2 = Kheibar Shekan-1.
    • Zulfiqar = Rezvan (initially thought it was a Qassem variant, but that was incorrect).
  • Ok maybe I'm speaking too soon but I kinda expected a bigger immediate fallout after the killing of the 2 zionist goons. We're hearing the expected condemnations from public officials, fascists yapping about rising antisemitism, but that's been it so far.

  • Khaled Barakat (his organization Samidoun was repressed out of the North American continent last year) had this to say about the denazification in the American capitol:

    Palestinian writer Khaled Barakat, a member of the Executive Committee of the Masar Badil, the Palestinian Alternative Revolutionary Path Movement, stated that “the shooting incident that occurred in the U.S. capital, Washington, targeting employees of the “Israeli” embassy, is a natural consequence of the Zionist entity’s crimes in the Gaza Strip.”

    Barakat added: “It is impossible to separate the reaction from the broader political and humanitarian context, by which we mean the ongoing Zionist massacre in Gaza for over twenty months — one of the most heinous genocidal crimes of the twenty-first century. It is a massacre that continues to this moment and will lead to further anger and violence toward the Zionist presence as a whole, and toward all those who support this entity in occupied Palestine and across the world.”

    He continued: “‘Israel,’ with the support and complicity of Western governments — foremost among them the United States — has committed a series of crimes that claimed the lives of tens of thousands of Palestinians, including thousands of children and women, through bombing, siege, and starvation, all amid a disgraceful international silence. Why do some express surprise at the human reactions to these horrific massacres? It is only inevitable that those who sow fire in Gaza should expect to reap a harvest of fire, in Gaza and in cities and capitals around the world.”

    He concluded by saying: “This explosion of anger in the heart of the U.S. capital is neither isolated nor random, but one of the manifestations of pain and deep rage stemming from the international community’s disregard for the suffering of Palestinians, and its complicity in shielding the killers and granting them impunity. We affirm that the occupation is the original crime, and that those who seek to criminalize the reactions while remaining silent on the massacre are complicit in the ongoing crime.”

  • A Kingdom of Cages: Danish Regime Rolls Out Harsher Sentences to Avoid Becoming Too Swedish

    In a carefully choreographed press conference steeped in racist dogwhistles and set against the grim theatrical backdrop of a Copenhagen prison, three senior officials from Denmark’s Social Democrat-led right-wing regime — Peter Hummelgaard, Troels Lund Poulsen, and Jakob Engel-Schmidt, the respective heads of the nation's Social Democrat-controlled Ministry of Justice,Liberal Party-controlled Ministry of Defense and Moderate Party-controlled Ministry of Culture — unveiled sweeping reforms to expand the Nordic kingdom’s prison system and sharply escalate penalties for violent crime.

  • (lmao intraday)

    hi japan, i'm watching you

    (1 year)

    might as well add this here:

    and crypto started growing

  • I always see people asking why world leaders don’t speak up about Gaza, the Palestinian hostages, the WB, or the famine... The thing is, there is a leader who talks about all of that, and more, in great detail every single week. His name is Sayyed Abdulmalik Al-Houthi, the leader of Ansar Allah and the man leading Yemen’s fight against imperialism and Zionism.

    Y'all better start listening to him instead of complaining, and stop looking in the wrong place for guidance and support. Press TV dubs his speeches live each Thursday.

    (Tweet)

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