Despite Biden losing, debate also showcased how awful Trump is as a candidate
Despite Biden losing, debate also showcased how awful Trump is as a candidate
No real answers or policy proposals, blaming every problem on migrants (while Biden's policy on the border is largely a continuation of Trump's), just a bunch of bullshit "everything was great, now everything sucks, but I will make it great again". I honestly cringed at Trump more, Biden's ramblings at least were funny.
I can't imagine anyone who's undecided at this point listen to this and say "This guy will make things right". Trump's entire objective is to let Biden stumble and fall and then cruise to presidency, but he makes every effort imaginable to prevent himself from it. No zingers or clever retorts against a literal corpse (aside from maybe one "I don't know what he said and he isn't either"), just and abysmal performance. Honestly, even someone like Ramaswami would've dogwalked Biden.
If anyone is capable of losing to Biden at this point, it's Trump.
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Yeah but who votes on the basis of policy? Buttigieg fans?
All that matters when it comes to policy can be condensed into the passions people feel towards, say, roe v wade. You don't need a good candidate there. You don't need reason or proposals. You just need to be on the podium and make sure not to demoralize your team. Biden is incapable of that. Barring some unforeseen demographic situation in the electoral college, Trump can totally cruise to election.
Barring some unforeseen demographic situation in the electoral college
What do you mean by that?
The United States is long overdue for a massive political realignment. The Democrats and the Republicans are indistinguishable when it comes to most policy issues, and also tend to court the same groups: suburban conservatives of various kinds. Where they differ is social policy, and the Democrats make their greatest efforts to make sure that difference is in name only. A lot of conventional wisdom on how people tend to vote is up to be challenged.
Such as the position of latin americans, who were often assumed to be too much of an other to be courted by the Republicans, but to whom the Democrats make no real offers besides a lot of patronizing assumptions that fly in the face of a group that skews more religious than average. Another is the distribution of populations - what matters most in these polarized times is the urban/rural divide. However communities across the country are being upended by the risks associated with climate change, deindustrialization, inflation and so on. People are moving. States are changing and the corruption of gerrymandering might not be able to stem the tide either way.
I'm still leaning that this election being a 50/50 by no merit of any living soul in Washington DC. But I wouldn't discount a landslide either way due to even greater amounts of people staying at home, or due to the aging milennial demographic gaining an importance that their grandparents once had, or whatever.