Friendly reminder: when commenting about a news event, especially something that just happened, please provide a source of some kind. While ideally this would be on nitter or archived, any source is preferable to none at all given.
Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Telegram Channels
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
Pro-Russian
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
Hot take: the IDF is advertised as a technologically advanced force but it's going to get absolutely fucked by peasants armed with Kalashnikovs in Gaza. It's going to be the US in Viet Nam all over again, bet the house on it.
The US in Vietnam was fighting a very organized military that was backed by one of the strongest conventional armies in the world at the time (NVA). Not to be pessimistic, but Palestine is just a different situation entirely.
Hamas has an upper limit on how well they can perform which is proportional to how many anti-tank missiles they have stockpiled. The question here is how much will IDF conscripts be willing to tolerate before they start turning on command.
i tentatively agree. dense urban area that by now there are probably Palestinians who have spent their entire lives fortifying and turning into a deathtrap. not to be the sun tzu guy, i'm a poor excuse for even an armchair general, but an important part of the art of war goes over how if you have your enemy surrounded you need to always leave some avenue for escape - otherwise people know there is no alternative but to fight to the death and even if you manage to win an assault you will take extreme casualties. there are over 2 million people in gaza who have now been made exceedingly aware that they either win this or die. the idf would have to have rock solid morale and based on what we've seen so far I think they are likely far from it.
merkavas don't mean shit if you're driving a column through constricting urban ruins filled with tunnels and woops wouldn't you know it the tank in the rear just blew up and there's 100 guys crawling out of the ground all around you at close range.
unless the tunnels aren't deep enough so that they really can just bunker buster all of gaza i genuinely do not know how any force on the planet could conquer the territory for any meaningful length of time. though i admit again i do not have the expertise to make a real call.