Israel Knew Hamas’s Attack Plan More Than a Year Ago
Israel Knew Hamas’s Attack Plan More Than a Year Ago
A blueprint reviewed by The Times laid out the attack in detail. Israeli officials dismissed it as aspirational and ignored specific warnings.
Israeli officials obtained Hamas’s battle plan for the Oct. 7 terrorist attack more than a year before it happened, documents, emails and interviews show. But Israeli military and intelligence officials dismissed the plan as aspirational, considering it too difficult for Hamas to carry out.
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The approximately 40-page document, which the Israeli authorities code-named “Jericho Wall,” outlined, point by point, exactly the kind of devastating invasion that led to the deaths of about 1,200 people.
Hamas followed the blueprint with shocking precision.
Then, in July, just three months before the attacks, a veteran analyst with Unit 8200, Israel’s signals intelligence agency, warned that Hamas had conducted an intense, daylong training exercise that appeared similar to what was outlined in the blueprint. . . . But a colonel in the Gaza division brushed off her concerns, according to encrypted emails viewed by The Times.
This is some crazy shit in here.
The question: is the incompetence willful?
Its hubris. Not the first army to do so in the last 24 month. Despite advance in technology and sources, intelligence security seems to not be easy.
If not, the willfullness is incompetent.
There’s got to be a corollary to Hanlon’s Razor that applies to politics:
Always attribute to malice that which cannot be more easily explained by incompetence.
That's a much, much better aphorism than Hanlon's razor.
Unless they can demonstrate that they took measures to react to this intelligence, it has to be willful doesn't it?
Not necessarily. it's possible it was straight up incompetence.
That said, I'm extremely skeptical of that, because frankly, the powers that be really, really, wanted this war.
They (Israel) can't claim they didn't know where Hamas cells were hiding before the attack, and somehow know where they are after the attack. That is why the response is total bullshit. If they knew where to strike beforehand, they would have done it. It's all a power play at the cost of many lives on both sides.
Incompetently taking measures is still taking measures, but I see what you mean.
Incompetently attempting measures and then covering up their failure would be tantamount to having willfully ignored it.