Rashida Tlaib and 'uncommitted' voters just delivered a major rebuke to Biden over Israel — and it could make him lose Michigan to Trump in 2024
Rashida Tlaib and 'uncommitted' voters just delivered a major rebuke to Biden over Israel — and it could make him lose Michigan to Trump in 2024
Tlaib urged MI Democrats to choose 'uncommitted' over Biden in the primary over support for Israel. It's a major warning for his chances in November.
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"Uncommitted" is at about 15% now vs 10.7% the last time someone (Obama) ran unopposed, but most votes haven't been counted yet. I would have waited until the counting is over before talking about major rebukes.
The largest Arab American counties are showing 4% counted.
The campaign's target was 10,000 voters, because that's how many votes Clinton lost Michigan by in 2016. It's already way over that.
There would have been well over 10,000 even with no campaign at all.
We went back and looked at Michigan Secretary of State data to see how many uncommitted votes have been cast for each party in the past presidential primary elections.
For Democrats, the numbers were:
2012: 20,833
2016: 21,601
2020: 19,106
With 41% of the votes counted they're at 50,000.
Turnout is much, much higher than it was during Obama's uncontested run. It looks like it's going to be about 925,000 total Democratic voters, as opposed to about 195,000 in 2012. With that said, 50,000 is still about 13.5% of the votes counted so far, which does look unusually high to me, although I would need more context if it was my job to advise Biden.
Anyway, that's not really the point I was trying to make originally. (There's no point in partisan bickering about something that will be objective fact tomorrow.) I was just annoyed that the media was jumping the gun before the votes were actually counted.
Shhh you’re fuckin up the narrative