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U.S Aviation Fatalities by year
U.S Aviation Fatalities by year
32 comments
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Surpassing Trump's 2nd last year in office.
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Pretty striking - I'd add a title to the top and the source in the lower right. Would make it much more shareable.
Edit: And a note about 2025 only being up to February 17th. Because the graph may outlive the
next Delta flightweek.-
Assuming this is counting people not crashes an average of 40 jumping to 80 doesn’t appear too shocking as I would think that meant one or so more crashes than normal. Unless it’s a bunch of really small planes.
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The data oligarchs now have makes it easy to kill political opponents with plausible deniability.
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Ooh, now do some linear extrapolation. We're gonna break some records in 2025. Too bad they're the ones you don't want to break.
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Sure but let's include the graph back to ~2000 or so
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So far ~30x higher this year than last year. If we extrapolate, I would expect something like 600 deaths assuming it stays the same
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That means every American will be dying in plane crashes by 2029! Wow, data is amazing!
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NGL, 8 years seems a little sus. I’d have questioned it less if it were 10.
Was there something that happened in 2012 that would have made this less dramatic?
I propose the same graph but covering 25 years just to be sure to include a definite outlier.
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This data only seems to cover part 121 and part 135 fatalities. In 2012, that was 9.
https://www.ntsb.gov/safety/data/Pages/2012-Avaiation-Accident-Summary.aspx
Assuming we can trust a .gov site’s data.
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8? It's 12 full years + 25
I just made 10 paginated requests to the api, and that covered till partially through 2012, so I dumped that and did '13 through now
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Fuck. I’m old.
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omg! someone needs to do something about access to this data! /s
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Unfortunately, this graph doesn’t consider that one incident can skew the data strongly because large incidents don’t happen yearly. (And the last incident of this magnitude was This means you can’t infer a trend from this graph alone.
If you include dates back to the 1990s, things look a lot worse then than now.
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Was 2001 a bad year because of 9/11?
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That one bad incident (I assume you mean the helicoptor crash) had 67 fatalities. If you remove it, you still get 19 across 4 accidents, which is still way worse than previous years
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But have you considered it's still only February
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So what changed in 2025? Scratching head. 🤷
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There seems to be a lot of talk around airplane crashes these days, so I decided to figure out how bad it really was
Data from https://asn.flightsafety.org/ and plotted using pyplot
2025 Data is only until February 17th
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So, it's pretty impressive what you put in the graph, but what the fuck you think it's happening?
EDIT: Sorry, I didn't want to come across as ungrateful, it's just too damn weird.
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I'm OOTL. I assume some sort of funding or regulation got dropped or is it just freaky coincidence?
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The crash in DC is the big one and accounts for about 2/3 of the 2025 numbers. Incidents like that don't happen every year and will skew this somewhat.
That said, removing that outlier still leaves us with enough fatalities in 2 months to reach our yearly average. I think many of them are still being investigated, so it's hard to say for sure what would cause this increase.
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It's hard to say, but
this was before the major accident: [1] https://apnews.com/article/coast-guard-homeland-security-priorities-committees-trump-tsa-d3e4398c8871ada8d0590859442e092c [2] https://www.latintimes.com/aoc-says-trump-gutted-aviation-safety-committee-last-week-blames-him-elon-dc-crash-574130
This started later, no crashes have happened since then https://apnews.com/article/doge-faa-air-traffic-firings-safety-67981aec33b6ee72cbad8dcee31f3437
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32 comments