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Bulletins and News Discussion from August 12th to August 18th, 2024 - Marshall Plan: Now As Farce - COTW: Ireland

Image is of one of Ireland's only manned navy ships, the Samuel Beckett. Image sourced from this BBC article.


Putler has been HUMILIATED by the Kursk offensive and this proves that Russia's army is in tatters and unable even to defend its own territory. However, it is simultaneously true that Russia poses an existential threat to countries thousands of miles away, as this recent Politico article demonstrates. Ireland - a country that immediately springs to mind as one surrounded by enemies - is being bullied due to its lack of military.

Despite bearing responsibility for 16 percent of the EU’s territorial waters, and the fact that 75 percent of transatlantic undersea cables pass through or near Irish waters, Ireland is totally defenseless. And I mean completely unable to protect critical infrastructure, or even pretend to secure its own borders. [...] Ireland’s “navy” of six patrol vessels is currently operating with one operational ship due to chronic staff shortages. [...] Ireland simply has no undersea capabilities. How could it, when it barely spends 0.2 percent of GDP on security and defense? And it has, in effect, abdicated responsibility for protecting the Europe’s northwestern borders.

For all we know, the dreaded sea-people from the Bronze Age Collapse could soon emerge from the North Atlantic.

Unfortunately, things are even worse up in the skies. Ireland has no combat jets, and it’s the only country in Europe that can’t monitor its own airspace due to the lack of primary radar systems. Instead, the country has outsourced its security to Britain in a technically secret agreement between Dublin and London, which effectively cedes control over Irish air space to the Royal Air Force. This must be the luck of the Irish — smile and get someone else to protect you for free.

While this is very silly, rearmament has long been a part of US imperial strategy on an economic level. Desai, discussing the US imperial strategy in the WW2 period:

By 1947 [...] the domestic postwar consumer boom was nearing its end. While financing exports became more urgent, the 1946 elections returned a Congress unlikely to approve further loans. Now the Truman Administration concocted the ‘red menace’ to ‘scare the hell out of the country’, enunciated the Truman Doctrine of US support for armed resistance to ‘subjugation’ which launched the cold war, and Congress granted $400 million to prevent left-wing triumphs in Greece and Turkey in 1947.

One reading of history states that the US was so intimidated by the USSR that this forced a policy of massive arms production even outside of official wartime. Why this arms production is not occurring today can be puzzling, and (very reasonably) explained by neoliberals exporting industrial production overseas. However, a different historical reading can explain both the first Cold War, and the ongoing situation in which American weaponry is being almost purposefully given in insufficient numbers to give Ukraine a chance of victory and thus only prolonging their suffering (while generating massive profit for the military-industrial complex):

In this sense the Cold War was not the cause of US imperial policy but its effect. It combined financing exports with fighting combined development by national capitalisms as well as communism. When such ‘totalitarian regimes’ threatened ‘free peoples’, ‘America’s world economic responsibilities’ included aid to countries battling them.

By selling massively expensive weapons to Europe, America could simultaneously guarantee export markets for its industries, trap Europe into reliance on American industries at the expense of their own, and divert European funds away from constructing factories which could compete with American ones. Providing a way to defend against Soviet communism (and now Russian "imperialism") is merely a happy side-effect, and so the lack of effectiveness of American weaponry is causing no great panic among the military-industrial complex, nor an urgent plan to quintuple artillery shell production or Patriot missile production - the deals for F-35s and such are still there, and they are what matter.


The COTW (Country of the Week) label is designed to spur discussion and debate about a specific country every week in order to help the community gain greater understanding of the domestic situation of often-understudied nations. If you've wanted to talk about the country or share your experiences, but have never found a relevant place to do so, now is your chance! However, don't worry - this is still a general news megathread where you can post about ongoing events from any country.

The Country of the Week is Ireland! Feel free to chime in with books, essays, longform articles, even stories and anecdotes or rants. More detail here.

Please check out the HexAtlas!

The bulletins site is here!
The RSS feed is here.
Last week's thread is here.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA daily-ish reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news (and has automated posting when the person running it goes to sleep).
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Various sources that are covering the Ukraine conflict are also covering the one in Palestine, like Rybar.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful. Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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  • Elon Musk and Gleen Greenwald attacks Brazil again, and the Brazilian battle between the Supreme Court and the far-right legislative.

    Elon Musk Tries to make an exposed (using US law as an example) against Supreme Court Judge Alexandre Moraes in Attempt to get the judge impeached (which won't ever happened because the Lula aligned Liberals control the senate).

    Phase 2 of Musk's "free Bolsonaro" campaign has begun, with help from sidekick Greenwald, who's released WhatsApp chats from Supreme Court Justice Moraes' staff showing him "informally directing" an Electoral Court investigation. The problem is there's nothing illegal about it.

    In the pages of Folha de S. Paulo, Glenn uses US law to claim his leaked messages prove that the Supreme Federal Court (STF) minister illegally acted 'outside the procedural framework' by having his staff request Superior Electoral Court (TSE) reports on investigation suspects.

    The problem with this argument is that,when the chats took place, Moraes was also President of the Superior Electoral Court, conducting a court police investigation into the January 8 coup attempt. In other words, he asked staff to request reports issued by his own subordinates.

    Furthermore, Brazilian law 9.504 grants the Superior Electoral Court (TSE) police powers to make requests that support investigations.

    Moraes, who stepped down from the Electoral Court presidency this year, says, ""It would be schizophrenic for me, as the president of the Superior Electoral Court, to issue an order to myself."

    "Especially since, as the president of the TSE, in exercising police powers, I had the authority, under the law, to order the creation of the reports. This investigative method is still possible today."

    "This sharing of evidence, which is a method approved by the Supreme Court, would now involve me issuing an order to Minister Cármen [Lúcia], who is the current president of the Electoral Court. As president, TSE, she would direct the advisory team to prepare the report."

    On the issue, Legal scholar Renato Ribeiro de Almeida says, "the minister shared electoral matters with the Electoral Court (TSE), while matters of a criminal nature were sent to the Supreme Court office."

    "In this case the same individual, Alexandre de Moraes, occupied two positions, one at the TSE at that time and another at the Supreme Court but this is a discussion about who holds positions at the TSE."

    "Our legislation states that three Supreme Court ministers serve on the TSE, including in the roles of president and vice president. Therefore, there is no irregularity in this regard."

    Journalist Reinaldo Azevedo says, "One may dislike the fact that three of the seven judges of the TSE are also Supreme Court judges; one may dislike the fact that the electoral court has an Integrated Center for Fighting Disinformation and Defending Democracy;

    "one may dislike the police powers that the electoral court possesses. Well, try to change the law. But don't call what is legal "non-procedural" just because you can't use the word "illegal."

    Greenwald's phony "smoking gun" has been greeted with delight by Brazil's far right. Prosperity Gospel Pastor/Senador Damares Alves - who claims to have once "spoken to Jesus in a guava tree", has filed an impeachment request against Moraes.

    On this, journalist and political scientist Leonardo Sakamoto writes, "Despite the outcry from the Bolsonaro opposition, there is no chance in the foreseeable future that the Senate will approve an impeachment of the minister."

    "However, the far right will use the case to try to equate Jair's situation with Lula's in the Lava Jato investigation (a weak comparison), in an attempt to reinforce their narrative of persecution."

    Meanwhile, Musk, Greenwald, Eduardo Bolsonaro and their wealthy allies have been holding a two-day, twitter circle jerk pushing this false narrative to bury any exposure of the fact that nothing illegal happened, in a flooding attack against the right to freedom of information.

    Bottom line: In less than 2 months, Brazil will hold mayoral elections in 5565 municipalities. The timing of Greenwald and Musk's attack against the Electoral Court seems designed to strengthen far right candidates. Therefore, it looks like a case of foreign election meddling.

    Finally, although it seems highly unlikely, impeaching Justice Moraes, a conservative who was appointed by coup President Michel Temer, would give Lula the opportunity to nominate his 3rd Supreme Court Justice in 2 years.

    Supreme Court Justice Flavio Dino (who was called a “Communist” by Lula, because he was until recently a member of the Brazilian Communist Party) suspends the payment of tax credits. Decision is valid until transparency measures are put in place

    Justice Flávio Dino, of the Federal Supreme Court (STF), ordered on Wednesday (14) the suspension of the execution of the impositive amendments to the Union Budget. According to the decision, payment should be suspended until the Legislative and Executive branches create transparency and traceability measures for the funds.

    The minister's decision was motivated by an action filed with the Court by the Liberty and Socialism Party (Left). The party claimed that the model of individual and bench amendments for federal deputies and senators makes preventive control of spending “impossible”.

    The party also argued that the model causes “disruption” in the separation of powers by shifting part of the budget management from the Executive to the Legislative.

    In ruling on the issue, Dino understood that the suspension of the amendments is necessary to avoid irreparable damage to the public coffers. According to the decision, only amendments earmarked for works in progress and to deal with public calamities can be paid.

    “The resulting damage is irreparable or difficult to repair, as it is very laborious and time-consuming to reimburse the treasury millions or billions of reais, in the event of a future investigation into responsibility for hypothetical illegalities, such as non-existent surgeries, ghost roads, health costs with no results for the population, unfeasible projects in NGOs, purchase of cold bills, among other anomalies of possible configuration,” said the minister.

    Dino also said that the portion of the budget allocated to parliamentarians could make spending on public policies unfeasible.

    “The percentage of commitment of the discretionary portion of the budget tends to evolve more and more randomly and make it impossible to achieve public policies, reaching the core of the principle of separation of powers, whose effectiveness must be immediately safeguarded,” he concluded.

    Last week, Flávio Dino also maintained the suspension of the so-called “Pix amendments” to the Union Budget.

    The amendments were created by Constitutional Amendment 105 of 2019 and allow deputies and senators to allocate individual amendments to the Union Budget through special transfers. Under the measure, the transfers do not require the indication of programs and the signing of agreements.

    The minister understood that the implementation of the amendments can continue in the case of works in progress and public calamities. The release of funds is conditional on meeting transparency and traceability requirements.

    The Legislative basically destroyed the powers of the Executive during Bolsonaro's presidency, they actively worked to remove all powers from the president and Bolsonaro agreed to it. It seems that there is a faction in Brazil that has been trying to install a parliamentarist goverment since the 1960s. Which seemed to have been support by the US, and goes against the referendum that happening during the 1980's and 1990's about Republicanism, Monarchism, Presidentialism and Parliamentarism, in which the people voted for a Presidential Republic.

    But now they've run into a big problem, the Supreme Court, which is really powerful and is mainly aligned with Lula's government. They absolutely hate Bolsonaro because he has always attacked them and hates their party, the Liberal Party. What's really funny is that there's nothing the legislature can do to stop the Supreme Court, if they remove a judge, Lula would have the chance to choose the replacement. And if they limit a judge's power, they will still form a majority against the legislature, as there are only two Bolsonaro judges there.

    Sources:

    1 - Twitter by BrianMier from Telesur

    2 - (Portuguese Only) BrasildeFato

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