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Bulletins and News Discussion from September 23rd to September 29th, 2024 - The War In The North
  • I think Isreal is lashing out with the terrorist attacks and assassinations in hope that Hezbollah will sue for a cease and they won't have to do the ground invasion. I really worry about the nuclear option when Isreal is on the edge of collapse. I could see UN occupation and demilitarization of the entity. US refuses it's participation in genocide and will not fund reconstruction. China takes on reconstruction in an expanding belt and road initiative.

  • Locked
    Bulletins and News Discussion from September 23rd to September 29th, 2024 - The War In The North
  • Wasn't Hezbollahs strategy to get the Israel to invade where they could engage them in their territory(assume the US would be less likely to get involved)? We're not even past the bombardment phase. I can't tell as there's not good information about how diminished their capabilities are. Certainly not looking good with the whole leadership being taken out but also Isreal doesn't seem to want a ground invasion either. The resistance is in a pickle here. Israel's objective seems to be the regional war that the Axis is trying to avoid but risks being picked apart if they can't act together

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    Bulletins and News Discussion from September 16th to September 22nd, 2024 - This Megathread Is Dedicated To The Brave Mujahideen Fighters of Afghanistan - COTW: Afghanistan
  • Yes. It's obviously an arbitrary line that based on an individual's analysis. I personally try not to call others names, nor do I like to be called them. There will be disagreements, misinterpreted takes, bad faith etc. I'm probably in the minority here but I would not ban "doomerism" (nor do i make personal value judgments about people based on their take's of the damned "News" of all things) but I do try to discourage despair it if it doesn't make sense. Also, there is that point where we're simply fucked, and I hope I can admit it if/when it happens.

  • Locked
    Bulletins and News Discussion from September 16th to September 22nd, 2024 - This Megathread Is Dedicated To The Brave Mujahideen Fighters of Afghanistan - COTW: Afghanistan
  • The bloomer vs doomer is a little comical and you're right, in that being unrealistically optimistic is stupid and dangerous. That's not exactly what's playing out here. The US is waning in influence in the ME and globally. Iran has become a almost totally self sufficient regional power. The entity discredits itself daily celebratingremoved, torture, murder and terrorism. While it's western patrons pile on ideological contradictions (as we're allegedly againstremoved, torture, murderand terrorism). The long term trends are not in the imperials favor as I see it. They are trying to pick a fight on their terms. A tactical victory today can also be a strategic defeat tomorrow. Imagine a producing economy in the global south utilizing this electronic terrorist attack because the imperial core imports everything, would expose such a national security risk we would have to abandon neo colonialism and do the old school occupation colonialism.

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    Eldungeon2 [he/him] @hexbear.net
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