Bulletins and News Discussion from September 23rd to September 29th, 2024 - The War In The North
Image is of a Hezbollah missile attack on a military camp west of Jenin.
The situation between Hezbollah and Israel is rapidly escalating, with massive bombing campaigns on southern Lebanon by Israel predominantly on civilians (as the tunnels in South Lebanon are mostly unreachable to the Zionists, just like in Gaza), while Hezbollah and its allies respond with missile attacks predominantly on Israeli military facilities. Israel is spreading an evacuation order to the residents of southern Lebanese villages while also bombing their routes of escape and civilian infrastructure, similar to a terror tactic used widely in Gaza.
Northern Israel is currently under military censorship to hide their losses, so we get very little information other than what the Resistance provides and what videos and images get through the censors.
I don't know if Israel will dare a ground incursion soon, but it seems fairly likely in the coming days or weeks.
Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful. Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section. Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war. Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis. Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language. https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one. https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts. https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel. https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator. https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps. https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language. https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language. https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses. https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Lebanon, despite having a flag and despite having political institutions, does not meet the definition of a state.
In the absence of a monopoly on the use of force both internally and externally, the Lebanese government is not a sovereign entity. On the border area with Lebanon, which is populated mainly by a hostile Shiite population, Hezbollah controls the effectiveness of which, on October 8, it launched a war against the State of Israel. The organization for those who forgot was born with the arrival of IRGC officers in Beqaa at the end of the First Lebanon War and to this day it serves as a de facto militia that operates with Iranian funding and guidance.
In a broader perspective, both Syria and Iraq do not meet the definition of a state today, given that different militias, foreign armies and local military forces control different regions of the above countries. Sykes and Picot's drawing lines, based on the division of spheres of influence and resources between Britain and France, did not survive the test of time, the sectarian and religious fault lines, the topographical terrain, and military might, are what shape the boundaries of truth between the various populations in the region.
The current picture of reality that has led us to evacuate tens of thousands of residents from their homes for fear of a ground invasion by an Iranian militia, a concern based both on the organization’s stated operational plans, and on the bitter experience of the events of the 7th of October, obligates us to recalculate the route of the border line against the entity calling itself the State of Lebanon.
"They don't have a state now, so it's fine if I just vacuum them up into mine," is such toxic liberal bullshit in the first place, even if it were true. Pretty quintessential colonialism right there.
events in October, requires us to recalculate a course regarding the border line with the entity that calls itself a state Lebanon.
Sounds to me like he wants to dissolve the state of israel. I mean what's more realistic that a band of 10 9 million european settlers can genocide all the 200 million+ indigenous people of West Asia or that all the nations surrounding the fascist enclave band together and force them out?