So yeah, it's not going to backfire, it's going to do exactly what they want.
Same way using the IDF to make sure Palestinians couldn't fight back against "settlers" just escalated the conflict. If Israel wanted peace, that backfired. But they don't want peace. They want a war so they can use it as an excuse to expand their borders again.
It's like the bully that's careful to not get caught for years.
Then one day a victim snaps and punches the bully in the face, so the bully beats the shit out of their victim and since "he started it" they get equal punishments. For the bully it's part of the game, for the victim it makes them feel crazy and possibly teaches them to never stand up for themselves again. Or drives them to do something incredibly dangerous because they feel trapped.