Bulletins and News Discussion from November 6th to November 12th, 2023 - Apartheid Antony's Asinine Adventure
Bulletins and News Discussion from November 6th to November 12th, 2023 - Apartheid Antony's Asinine Adventure
...one has to wonder what the latest Blinken round of visits to the Middle East was supposed to accomplish, since all it did was expose our impotence. Even the Financial Times could not hide that the meetings with Netanyahu and then Arab leaders were a train wreck. Netanyahu rejected even any itty bitty ceasefire, branded a humanitarian pause, to get relief in, demanding that Hamas release all hostages first. The fact that Israel has welched or underperformed on its past begrudging promises to let trucks from Egypt in, would make that a non-starter even before getting to Hamas being sure to stick to its position of wanting to trade hostages for Palestinian prisoners. And of course the Arab states are not about to budge. Blinken got a more pointed version of what he was told before.
Antony Blinken faced intense pressure from regional allies to facilitate an immediate ceasefire in Gaza, laying bare the stark gap between US support for Israel and the outrage in Arab capitals over the siege and bombardment of the strip….
Sameh Shoukry, the Egyptian foreign minister, demanded an unconditional ceasefire, a commitment that Israel’s prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu bluntly rejected after meeting Blinken on Friday.
Blinken had been expected to “brainstorm” with Arab diplomats the future of Gaza, home to 2.3mn Palestinians, after the war ends. Safadi bluntly rejected those talks as premature. “How can we even entertain what will happen in Gaza when we do not know how Gaza will be left?” he asked Blinken. “Are we going to be talking about a wasteland? Are we talking about a whole population reduced to refugees?”
This comes off as the sort of thing someone who had just read classic texts on negotiating trying to put in practice: “Gee, let’s get a dialogue going! Let’s get to ‘Yes’ on some less fraught issues to pave the way for further agreement!” In addition, “brainstorming” is cringemakingly American. You don’t do that with people who are mad at you. You don’t do that in a crisis. Between independent entities, you do not do that at the top level. You have low level people or emissaries float ideas. So why this exercise? The worst is that Biden and Blinken come off as so disconnected from reality that they though they might get someone to accommodate US needs.
Friendly reminder: when commenting about a news event, especially something that just happened, please provide a source of some kind. While ideally this would be on nitter or archived, any source is preferable to none at all given.
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA daily-ish reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news (and has automated posting when the person running it goes to sleep).
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis.
English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.
Various sources that are covering the Ukraine conflict are also covering the one in Palestine, like Rybar.
The Country of the Week is still Lebanon! Feel free to chime in with books, essays, longform articles, even stories and anecdotes or rants. More detail here.
Here is the map of the Ukraine conflict, courtesy of Wikipedia.
You're going to have to (hex)bear with me on the update this week. Have you been feeling generally pretty terrible this last month or so? So have I, and doomscrolling and archiving it all is my quasi-job at this point. Not good, folks, more and more people are saying it. I'll get over it eventually.
Links and Stuff
The bulletins site is down.
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Add to the above list if you can.
Resources For Understanding The War
Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Telegram Channels
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
Pro-Russian
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
Last week's discussion post.
You're viewing a single thread.
A thread on Hamas' anti-tank tactics and weaponry:
Many have asked me about the efficiency of these Rockets fired by Hamas on Israeli Merkava tanks. Merkava IV is equipped with a trophy, an active protection system designed to protect it from anti-tank guided missiles (ATGMs), and rocket-propelled grenades (RPGs). It intercepts them by firing counter projectiles. However, not all variants of Merkava are equipped with an APS system. Merkava IV can survive not one but several Standard RPG-7 and grenades. Merkava IV is a big challenge but it also has its limitations in Urban settings that are being exploited by Hamas. APS is not very effective when it comes to intercepting projectiles fired from a range less than 45m and very fast like Russian Kopyo SPG-9, Heavy Antitank Grenade Launcher, which does not give APS enough time to react.
Hamas is operating not standard PG-7 but PG-7VR tandem-charged with an explosively formed penetrator (EFP). Along with Al Yasin, an anti-tank tandem charged 105mm calibre rocket which is effective against reactive armour. Tandem charge refers to a projectile having two or more stages of detonation. So basically the first stage impact creates a hole allowing the the remaining part of the projectile to penetrate the case of amour more easily. Since the start of the war, we have seen multiple strategies executed by Hamas to deal with Israel Merkava IV Tanks.
-
Drone-dropped PG-7VR tandem heat PGs. Merkava IV is most vulnerable from the top. Hamas released a video of one successful attack. IDF was preparing for such tactics when moving deeper into Gaza that's why we saw Merkava tanks on the Gaza border having "salt armour".
-
Firing Al Yassin 105 tandem heat Anti-Tank missile from 'zero distance' (<50m). Video released earlier had visuals suggesting these missiles bypassed Trophy to hit armoured vehicles But keep in mind any engagement from the rear would for sure lead to penetration. Moreover, they likely fire multiple in quick succession.
-
Placing warhead right under the Trophy Active protection system on the Merkava tank, firing Al-Yassin after denoting the warhead to bypass the system.
-
Hamas also have AT-14 Kornet ATGMs, which were also used by Hezbollah during the ongoing border skirmishers with Israel, successfully targeting and destroying multiple Merkava IV Tanks.
-
Hamas also have operational Bulsae-2 laser-guided HEAT missiles. Though I read reports about Kornet but still haven't seen any video or report mentioning the operationalization of Bulsae 2 yet during the ongoing conflict.
Having said that, there are multiple factors involved when it comes to these anti-tank missiles; distance, area of impact, and missile used but even in case it doesn't fully penetrate, any successfully hit Merkava would likely need repair or in cases would be beyond repair.
These Hamas anti-tank guys have also been very well instructed and equipped. They're using the right tactics, the right weapons, and hitting the right spots from the right ranges to bypass all layers of defensive systems. It may look chaotic in the videos, but Hamas has properly prepared their tank hunters for their work, and a lot of thought has gone into figuring it out.
-