Bulletins and News Discussion from November 6th to November 12th, 2023 - Apartheid Antony's Asinine Adventure
Bulletins and News Discussion from November 6th to November 12th, 2023 - Apartheid Antony's Asinine Adventure
...one has to wonder what the latest Blinken round of visits to the Middle East was supposed to accomplish, since all it did was expose our impotence. Even the Financial Times could not hide that the meetings with Netanyahu and then Arab leaders were a train wreck. Netanyahu rejected even any itty bitty ceasefire, branded a humanitarian pause, to get relief in, demanding that Hamas release all hostages first. The fact that Israel has welched or underperformed on its past begrudging promises to let trucks from Egypt in, would make that a non-starter even before getting to Hamas being sure to stick to its position of wanting to trade hostages for Palestinian prisoners. And of course the Arab states are not about to budge. Blinken got a more pointed version of what he was told before.
Antony Blinken faced intense pressure from regional allies to facilitate an immediate ceasefire in Gaza, laying bare the stark gap between US support for Israel and the outrage in Arab capitals over the siege and bombardment of the strip….
Sameh Shoukry, the Egyptian foreign minister, demanded an unconditional ceasefire, a commitment that Israel’s prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu bluntly rejected after meeting Blinken on Friday.
Blinken had been expected to “brainstorm” with Arab diplomats the future of Gaza, home to 2.3mn Palestinians, after the war ends. Safadi bluntly rejected those talks as premature. “How can we even entertain what will happen in Gaza when we do not know how Gaza will be left?” he asked Blinken. “Are we going to be talking about a wasteland? Are we talking about a whole population reduced to refugees?”
This comes off as the sort of thing someone who had just read classic texts on negotiating trying to put in practice: “Gee, let’s get a dialogue going! Let’s get to ‘Yes’ on some less fraught issues to pave the way for further agreement!” In addition, “brainstorming” is cringemakingly American. You don’t do that with people who are mad at you. You don’t do that in a crisis. Between independent entities, you do not do that at the top level. You have low level people or emissaries float ideas. So why this exercise? The worst is that Biden and Blinken come off as so disconnected from reality that they though they might get someone to accommodate US needs.
Friendly reminder: when commenting about a news event, especially something that just happened, please provide a source of some kind. While ideally this would be on nitter or archived, any source is preferable to none at all given.
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA daily-ish reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news (and has automated posting when the person running it goes to sleep).
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis.
English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.
Various sources that are covering the Ukraine conflict are also covering the one in Palestine, like Rybar.
The Country of the Week is still Lebanon! Feel free to chime in with books, essays, longform articles, even stories and anecdotes or rants. More detail here.
Here is the map of the Ukraine conflict, courtesy of Wikipedia.
You're going to have to (hex)bear with me on the update this week. Have you been feeling generally pretty terrible this last month or so? So have I, and doomscrolling and archiving it all is my quasi-job at this point. Not good, folks, more and more people are saying it. I'll get over it eventually.
Links and Stuff
The bulletins site is down.
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Add to the above list if you can.
Resources For Understanding The War
Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Telegram Channels
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
Pro-Russian
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
Last week's discussion post.
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I've just realized that I don't really know that much about the Israeli economy. Does the country actually have like, natural resources and big manufacturing, or is this the typical "We have a high GDP because our businessmen hand suitcases of money back and forth but can't actually make anything without it being looted by financial vultures" western economy?
Permanently Deleted
I think they're a big exporter of diamonds.
The Diamond industry of Israel is an important world player in producing cut diamonds for wholesale. In 2010, Israel became the chair of the Kimberley Process Certification Scheme. As of 2016, cut diamonds constituted 23.2% of Israel's total exports and they were the country's biggest export product, amounting to 12% of the world's production.
Yes, they import raw diamonds then they do the cutting / polishing / finishing, then the final product is shipped out as exports.
Actually kinda surprised I’ve never seen “diamonds” on a BDS list.
And sodastreams
looking at https://oec.world/en/profile/country/isr
israeli exports
It's interesting that Israel's biggest import is also diamonds, so I wonder if that trade is affected by the war. Additionally there's that Intel chip plant in Israel as well right, so that's probably the integrated circuts. So they definetly do have some decent domestic production. I did see that Palestine also exports a lot of building materials to Israel. I've also read that there's unexploited oil off the shore of Gaza that Israel has already given companies contracts for, so the oil business is definitely there. It doesn't seem like they do a lot of business with other middle eastern countries; it's pretty much just Turkey.
From anecdotal exposure, they make a considerable amount of machine tooling. Not machine tools (mills, lathes, etc) like Japan and Europe, but tertiary metrology equipment (i.e. the flexible arm which holds the nice Japanese dial indicator) and carbide deburring tools can be found in most commercial machine shops. Noga is a well known brand.
They also make a lot of the world's agricultural irrigation equipment via the company Netafim (sometimes aka Dorot).
Good question. I always thought it can't be insignificant because BDS is quite the challenge. But that sometimes only implies a company based is in Israel or a part made by a company with an office in Israel.
Evidence is already mounting of the war’s destructive impact on economic activity. A survey of Israeli businesses by the Central Bureau of Statistics found that one in three had closed or were operating at 20 per cent capacity or less since it began, while more than half had reported revenue losses of 50 per cent or more.
The results were even worse for the south, the region closest to Gaza, where two-thirds of businesses had either shut or reduced operations to a minimum.
Meanwhile, the labour ministry says that 764,000 Israelis — 18 per cent of the workforce — are not working after being called up for reserve duty, evacuated from their towns or forced by school closures to look after children at home.
Cool Zone
Does it really matter when the US will just keep writing blank checks?
They can write as many blank checks as they want, but at the end of the day the composition of labor is the foundation of any economy and unlike Ukraine, Israel doesn't have tens of millions of post-soviet workers to fall back on, the Thai workers left, they don't want to hire Palestinian workers, and the rest of their workforce is conscripted or sheltering in place
American money can buy all the inventory in the world, but who's gonna stock the shelves?
The Israeli economy is fucked because demographically Israeli society is fucked
Supposedly they’re trying to get those necessary workers from India I saw
guys incomingAren't Israelis usually horribly racist to those indians though? Wonder if that will cause some friction at all when Israel has to import 10s of thousands of Indian men.
Yes. If it does end up happening hopefully india receives 100k angry men who wish for Israel to destroyed when they go back.
The U.S. doesn't have enough to keep an entire nation floating for free.
Don't get me wrong they will sink billions upon billions (hundreds) making sure it doesn't collapse but it can't survive directly on U.S. support alone. If international capital is scared of doing things in Israel, there's only so much the U.S. can do I think.
Yes they can the US can print and send them infinite money as long as the dollar is the global reserve currency, although that could always have unforeseen consequences like causing runaway dedollarization somehow (which would cause the collapse of the empire ofc)
Biggest issue would be them struggling to actually handle a spike in imports if their economy starts collapsing and has to be propped up by the US
Theoretically they can, I don't know how that would work out in practice though.
America can’t sustain infinite giveaways much longer either. We are already printing as much money right as we were in the height of the Covid period, which was record increases to the money supply. Tons of indicators across the board are looking extremely bleak for the US and EU
I think the problem with that is the gridlock, has that aid package even gone thru yet? I know there was speculation that might not get thru the senate because it doesnt have the ukraine funding in it that republicans are dead set against
It hasn't moved. Congress is still jammed.
excellent
LETS FUCKING GOOOIt would be so funny if Israel lost because the 2 parties that both agree it should be funded can't actually agree to fund it.
But if I was a bettin' man, and I'm neither, Dems will blink first and Ukraine will be sent to the shadow zone
But if I was a bettin’ man, and I’m neither
Banger tbh
It will if Israel keeps wasting it. At some point, the US will start putting pressure on Israel to show real progress.
They say the Shekel has recovered, but it's hardly out of the woods. It hit a floor and had a bounce, but it hasn't broken above its trendline (The line I added in red below), so I wouldn't call the recovery confirmed yet
Oh shit we're doing TA in Hexbear now