Jill Stein Hurts Donald Trump More Than Kamala Harris, Poll Suggests
Jill Stein Hurts Donald Trump More Than Kamala Harris, Poll Suggests
A recent poll shows Jill Stein's appearance on the ballot might be hurting Republicans more than Democrats, a reversal from 2016.
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It depends on how you define "hurts more".
Looking at the polling for PA, but SPECIFICALLY polls done by the same agency, both with Stein and without Stein:
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/pennsylvania/
Oct. 7-10 857LV
The New York Times/Siena College
Harris - 49%
Trump - 45%
Stein - 1%
Oliver - 0%Oct. 7-10 857LV
The New York Times/Siena College
Harris - 50%
Trump - 47%In terms of raw numbers, yes, with Stein in the race Harris loses 1 point while Trump loses 2, so you'd THINK that means it hurts Trump more.
But there's no logistical difference between 47% and 45%.
In elections where the winner is 50%+1, dropping from 50 to 49 is a HUGE difference.
5 0 ReplyIn elections where the winner is 50%+1,
US popular vote elections aren't 50%+1, though. Whoever has the most votes wins, regardless of percentage.
4 1 Replycame here looking for mental gymnastics
this is the stuff!
1 0 Reply