What's up with people saying the results of the Venezuelan elections are "statically impossible"?
What's up with people saying the results of the Venezuelan elections are "statically impossible"?
I'm not good at math, but people keep passing this chart around in 
But I keep seeing people in the comments debating whether this is actually "impossible" or not, using stats terms I'm not familiar with. Also idk the source of this graph so maybe it's bs.
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Where does this chart come from? Was it released by the CNE? They haven't released the tabulated results yet, so it looks like someone took the estimates that the CNE announced in their preliminary bulletin, and then multiplied those by the vote total.
EDIT: Checking the CNE website, it is currently down, mostly likely a part of the cyberattack campaign against Venezeula's electoral infrastructure to try and discredit the results.
EDIT2: Telesur hasn't posted anything like this either. It's pointless to debate the plausibility of these totals unless you can verify that these are the totals published by the CNE.
EDIT3: I haven't seen any Venezuelan government (or pro-government) source claim a those vote totals either, just a 59% turnout. I wouldn't be surprised if that estimated was multiplied by the estimated registered voters to get these numbers. It makes sense that the numbers would look jank from reverse construction, but I don't think that the CNE or government claimed these numbers in the first place.
They have twitter
The CNE twitter account hasn't been used since October 2023.EDIT: There are dozens of CNE accounts. Which is the real one?
I believe the numbers came from this https://x.com/cneesvzla/status/1817953254208110756 The video has numbers shown on screen.
So, that's at the preliminary bulletin, so those numbers would then be projected final votes based on the then-current estimate, hence the reverse construction.
So, we'll see what the final numbers are today, assuming that the CNE is able to make its deadline.