President Biden will meet Chinese President Xi Jinping in person for the first time in a year during a summit in San Francisco. It will be the second in-person meeting between the two leaders since Biden took office.
I mean... this is probably good for the world as a whole since China is the new "near peer" bogeyman for the most funded standing military on the planet.
But... unless we can get some guarantees for Taiwan... this is not good. And Pooh Bear ain't going to be backing off of his strong man military invasion to bleed his entire military dry.
The guarantee for Taiwan is that it's in neither country's best interest to start a hot war with the other.
As long as Taiwan is integral to US national security (it is because of their chips,) the US will defend Taiwan as though it were its own.
To think otherwise is asinine, and I challenge you to wait until China invades Taiwan while it's still a vital asset to US national security and then you can tell me I'm wrong.
You're going to be waiting a long time, just saying.
And what might make Taiwan no longer "integral to US national security"? Having an even stronger military ally in the region.
And what keeps those semiconductors "safe"? The knowledge that this won't be a clean war. This won't be landing troops in an airport after targeted bombardments and then decapitating leadership. Russia tried that and it led to their semi-competent soldiers being killed and the current slog of a war.
And you know what was a big factor in that? Western military and intelligence support.
Without that? Quick invasion and then an insurgency. But China Don't Care about "the optics". Just look at their ongoing genocide of the Uyghurs, their subjugation of Hong Kong, or even how thoroughly they have (internally) covered up why Tiananmen Square is a touch subject. And even externally, people know that more for "ha ha, China covered it up" rather than WHY there was a massacre in the first place. Insurgencies don't last long under those conditions.
And if the US has "strong military ties" with China? That more or less means we have to pick and choose who we actually support in the event of a war. And it probably won't be the smaller military. Otherwise we would have told Pooh to go fuck himself and not bothered with this.
Can't expect public guarantees but if Xi doesn't actually believe his saber rattling bs, he might give some private commitment. If anything like this happens, we'd hear it in the rhetoric of Biden and his administration vis-a-vis Taiwan.
China has consistently said it will only invade Taiwan if it declares independence. Taiwan can only do that if it rewrites its own constitution. Western media never bother with details like that though, it diminishes China's bogeyman credentials.
WASHINGTON, Nov 12 (Reuters) - U.S. President Joe Biden wants to re-establish military-to-military ties with China, White House national security adviser Jake Sullivan said on Sunday, days before the president and the Chinese leader are set to meet.
Biden will meet Chinese President Xi Jinping in person for the first time in a year on Wednesday during the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation summit in San Francisco.
Sullivan said on CNN's "State of the Union" that Biden would seek to "advance the ball" on military ties during his meeting with Xi, but declined to provide further details.
The Biden-Xi meeting is expected to cover global issues from the Israel-Hamas war to Russia's invasion of Ukraine, North Korea's ties with Russia, Taiwan, the Indo-Pacific, human rights, fentanyl production, artificial intelligence, as well as "fair" trade and economic relations, a senior U.S. official said.
Relations between the two countries grew frosty after Biden ordered the shooting down in February of a suspected Chinese spy balloon that flew over the United States.
But top Biden administration officials have since visited Beijing and met with their counterparts to rebuild communications and trust.
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