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Could it dramatically rise after 2025 when Windows 10 reaches EOL?
There are millions and millions of very powerful computers unable to run windows 11 because the Microsoft marketing department decided so
Not likely. There has been plenty of opportunities, Windows Xp, Windows 7, etc - there was no dramatic rise.
Yes but almost any old PC made in the last two decades can be upgraded to windows 10. Even an athlon64 from 2003, can run it, if it has enough RAM. The same can't be said for windows 11, which accepts only the newest processors
I don't remember there being a similar CPU generation cutoff before. Your 7th gen intel laptop cannot install windows 11. So Linux is your only choice.
Yes but most of the people don't care, out there are still people running windows xp and 7 without thinking twice about it
I expect there are very few people running 7, and waaaay less running xp. I think most people have upgraded to 10 or 11 by now.
Windows 7 had 10.25% desktop market share on November 2022
I honestly think it's more likely they will continue to run Win 10, but without updates.