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I asked GPT-4 for a list of the most important threats to human civilization, their likelihood, and why they were considered threats.
Of these, I feel like climate change, a meteor, and nuclear war are really the only viable existential threats, and even climate change will most likely not destroy humanity wholly, although what's left may not be worth living in.
Yeah, people are sleeping on biodiversity loss. That one is going to come out of "nowhere" even though there are fewer birds in the sky now than when I was a kid.