Just one guy’s constipated opinion. Seriously, look at his picture. Anyway, I’ve been into Cliodynamics recently and Peter Turchin has predicted Ukraine will lose in a protracted war. I’ll link it. Interesting data.
The fake "nationalists" (really international fascists) are willing to betray their countries to Putin if it means they get to kill an outgroup member -- maybe an immigrant, maybe a transgender person.