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We're definitely going to see jobs affected by ChatGPT and the like. It's an open question of "Can LLMs do things as well as humans?" across the board, but when have you seen a company turn down a deal like "slightly shittier, but costs pennies on the dollar and doesn't have any pesky 'rights'"?
Still waiting for that VR quantum blockchain technology to affect jobs
I imagine companies will begin consolidating and slowly reducing their workforces over a few decades. Even if AI never gets to do some things as good as humans, it will quickly get to the point where it can do many things good enough with fewer and fewer humans checking its work. If my coworkers started getting laid off and I was left on a team of AI babysitters, I’d feel my days were numbered too. That can affect all sorts of other businesses in a given region, along with crime, education, etc.
But I wonder if it will be so drastic that we’ll see entire cities abandoned by industries, leaving behind unemployed, obsolete workers, sometimes for generations, like what happened with outsourcing and robots.
My hometown was basically built for a few factories, which left. Then it was IBM, which left. Now it’s a university and a few hospitals that are the only real economy there, plus the restaurants that serve them. Place has been depressing AF for a long time. Not an uncommon story by any means, and it’s sure to happen more as the next new way to replace workers comes along. AI just seems like it will affect more industries at once than other disruptors have in the past.