I don't want to diminish the talent of the historian in vain but past performance is not always an indicator of being good at predictions, he might just have been lucky in a completely random guess 9 times out of 10. Given the amount of historians making such predictions it is not unlikely that such an historian exists and it would be fairly easy to mistake their success for talent.

I don't know where I found this but I found a scheme somewhere to scam some investors: Find a large list of potential victims. Tell one part of it that you predict that market will do A, and the other part that the market will do B. Repeat the process several times, selecting only the investors to whom you've always told the correct prediction. Eventually you will have a handfull of people who have "solid proof" that you are a visionnary and you can scam them.

Again, I absolutely do not mean to say that this particular historian is bad. This story just reminded me of these ideas and I wanted to share.

Is this this US? These roads are so scary. It look like a Autobahn, but with red lights and cars crossing your road. I would probably treat every intersection as a "give way" irrespective of green lights. (Then I would get shot or ran over by some monster-truck, probably)

Thanks!

Are reflections always the same size as the object itself ???

I shrank it because it felt more natural, then I shrank it more to make the reflection fit in the circle, so maybe I've over-done it...

I plan on making it into some stickers. I left the real nose of the duck outside the circle to improve the feel that the duck isn't flat, hopefully that won't cause issues with the stickers :p

Not that you will care: Switzerland passed a similar constitutional amendment in 2021, with no exception for religious purposes. It was proposed by a right wing party with barely hidden anti-muslim sentiment. It's one of the many recent moves that, in my view, makes my country more vulnerable to authoritarian drifts as it makes it harder to conceal one's identity in protests. There is a difference it seems to the law discussed in this article in that in switzerland the fine is not automatic. it only occurs when someone refuses to uncover their face when asked to.

Why is the fact check bot being downvoted? Is it reputed to be itself biased and wrong?