David Gerard @ dgerard @awful.systems Posts 489Comments 1,182Joined 2 yr. ago

now writing up for pivot. this is fucking inane.
I did two Intelligence Squared debates in the UK. The best bit was I got paid. The second best was the people running it were actually very nice and quite competent. Recommend to all.
As for content, the first one featured the guy behind Liberland, so lol
Curtis Yarvin being into lizards is the most endearing thing I've ever heard about him
so I previously predicted the AI bubble would pop on Trump's watch and crash the stock market. Never did I envision Trump doing it to himself, in a manner so stupid I'm not sure anyone anticipated it.
I'm wondering what this does to the AI bubble. I think the bubble is led by trillions of dollars desperate for lottery-sized returns. There's so much family, pension and sovereign wealth money that can't get returns on sane investments that they're left only with insane ones.
This is not about tech at all. If they thought they could do a tech bubble with ELIZA chatbots, we'd have number power plants being restarted to power hyperscale data centres running billions of copies of ELIZA.
What would it take for this crash to affect the AI bubble materially?
By the same fuckin people! A perfect Pivot to AI
"Yudkowsky sincerely believes the following. You'll recognise it because Altman uses it as marketing buzzwords."
a journalist wants to ask me about Urbit. Should I install Urbit so I can at least say I've tried it and can speak authoritatively?
[ ] no
[ ] hell no
[ ] jesus h. christ no why
i just had a 1.5 hour half-hour chat with another journalist about the Fucking Rationalists
i have a call with a third one scheduled for tomorrow
i have followed these fucks for 15 years in detail and i still don't know how to properly explain them to our lovely pivot-to-ai readers
at least it'll be these suckers' job to do the explaining while i rant
fuck. it's rationalist season
112 pages jfc
Bonfire of the LLMs: Gartner forecasts ‘extinction’ for generative AI vendors
LessOnline is a festival celebrating truthseeking and blogging, the totally not race science is just a bonus
OpenAI signs its $40 billion deal with SoftBank! Or maybe $30 billion, probably
EAs sad that their previous rich grifters are trying to distance themselves from the movement
AI in the enterprise is failing over twice as fast in 2025 as it was in 2024
tip from a discord:
I've been doing some micro tasking to train LLM's the last few months to earn some extra cash, the last month it's all dried up, no tasks available. I can't help thinking that is a sign of a bubble deflating.
it would be nice if people ever read the history of their favourite thing
one for the arse-end of this week's stubsack
It's just training the model
"it can't be that stupid, you must be prompting it wrong"
I need to put the threads together, but as far as I can tell OpenAI is singlehandedly responsible for the present bubble
Sam Altman’s Studio Ghibli memes are another distraction from OpenAI’s money troubles
don't worry, you're probably just thick
it's yet another sign of the end times when you have to consider Nick fuckin Land's existence again. Here's one of his ex-students in the FT going "wtf"
best guess i've heard so far is they're trying to sell this shitass useless company before the bubble finally deflates and they're hoping the AI interviews of suckers are sufficient personal data for that
you don't understand, sam cured cancer or whatever
holy shitting fuck, just got the tip of the year in my email
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it's called kerplunk.com, a domain named after the sound of your balls disappearing forever
the market is gullible recruiters
founder is Jonathan Gallegos, his linkedin is pretty amazing
other three top execs don't use their surnames on Kerplunk's about page, one (Kyle Schutt) links to a linkedin that doesn't exist
for those who know how Dallas TX works, this is an extremely typical Dallas business BS enterprise, it's just this one is about AI not oil or Texas Instruments for once
AI sales startup 11x claims customers it doesn’t have for software that doesn’t work