The glitch: Peaceful reunification, because even somehow winning a conflict against the world's largest economy, 100 miles off your coast, that has been preparing for this for half a century, is far, far worse than the alternative.
Then again, if Ukraine is anything to go by, we're gonna get some comprador gov't put a rifle in every man, woman, and child's hands, followed by the US bombing TSMC.
The announcement by Robert Tsao, a well-known Taiwanese businessman and founder of United Microelectronics Corp, a major microchip producer, comes amid increasing military activity between Taiwan and China. On Thursday Taiwan’s defence ministry announced its soldiers had shot down a Chinese drone over Taiwan’s Kinmen islands.
At a press conference on Thursday, Tsao, 75, said the Chinese Communist party (CCP) threat to Taiwan was growing. Wearing a bulletproof vest and helmet, he pledged funds to train “three million people in three years”. Working with the island’s civilian defence organisation, the Kuma Academy, 60% of the funds would go towards building an army of “warriors”, and 40% to training another 300,000 in how to shoot.
but Taiwan already has mandatory military service? Though it wouldn't surprise me if dudes never even touch a gun and just spend their conscription years cleaning toilets and driving their COs around town.
Oh yes, 14% of the population will definitely sign up to fight for this guy who to them is like, their neighbor's boss' boss. That's just an insane fraction of the population to have in the military, on the same kind of scale as the USSR during the Great Patriotic War.
Nah there isnt a fervent anti-China nationalist mythology and hatred among the Taiwanese at nearly the degree that has been constructed in Ukraine for a century now. Much different cultural mindsets too. Taiwan would fold socialy in any attempt to have them fight any attritional, mass mobilization war against the Chinese. Ukraine had hundreds of thousands of fascists frothing in the mouth for Russian blood with penetration at every level of politics and civil society , let alone the army. And a russophobic population ready to jump into "this is an existential war that we must fight till the last man" narrative fed to them. There wont be any mass ability or willingness to die by the tens of thousands on a war against the mainland. Hell they would probably fold after 2 weeks of Naval blockade of Oil/Gas/coal if the US doesnt try to break it, let alone fight on trenches on the beaches
Then again, if Ukraine is anything to go by, we're gonna get some comprador gov't put a rifle in every man, woman, and child's hands, followed by the US bombing TSMC.
Nah, the PRC is too busy bribing Taiwanese top brass to surrender for that to happen.