FiveThirtyEight's poll tracker shows Joe Biden has a 53 percent chance of winning the election, while Trump has a 46 percent chance.
Polls are crap
It’s a little bit notable how they change over time, but mostly it is just a bunch of poor methodology noise
But, I do feel it’s relevant to point out that even in polling land Biden has been gaining for the last few weeks and it’s notable which media outlets are pretending it is the opposite of that (like severely the opposite) and to wonder why that is
Fun fact: After firing Nate Silver from 538, Disney dumped their whole model and replaced it with one that always shows Biden winning. Nate Silver is still using the pre-this year's rigged model, and Biden's down to like 20% odds.