A new Marquette Law School poll finds Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump nationally by six points among likely voters in a head-to-head match up, 53% to 47%.
In a multi-candidate field, Harris leads 50% to 42%
If other polls get similar margins, Trump is in big trouble
OK, I'll be the first to say it this time. While the results of this poll warm my heart, the fact remains that the only poll that matters is on election day! Make sure and vote.
The electoral college is what makes national polls meaningless, not FPTP. If we picked presidents via national popular vote, national polls would be relevant, even if we still had FPTP.
The survey was conducted July 24-Aug. 1, 2024, interviewing 879 registered voters nationwide, with a margin of error of +/-4.1 percentage points. For likely voters, the sample size is 683 with a margin of error of +/-4.7 percentage points.