Russia halts Ukrainian offensive and goes on the attack
Russia halts Ukrainian offensive and goes on the attack
With fewer troops and less ammunition than the invader, Kyiv is now preparing for 2024, facing even greater obstacles in its attempt to recover occupied territory
Russia asking help from North Korea was always less about Russia being desperate and more about 2 sanctioned countries finding themselves in the same team. Ukraine has been asking help too, but media does not interpret that as being desperate.
Wait, didn’t Russia and North Korea just unite themselves? This can only mean one thing…
Stalin’sKim Jong Un’s Spoon is spooning up the Ukrainians again.Are we seeing the East pivot to stronger military ties in preparation for a US attack of some kind? Having Russian backing is going to make SK think twice about anything it planned in the DPRK and denies any easy foothold on the mainland from the direction of Japan. Plus, if this helps end the war in Ukraine faster, there's an advantage to China as it will free up Russia's attention and mean that China can focus on a few less problems if the US manages to kick something up in Taiwan. It possibly, possibly implies a Russia-China-DPRK pact which NATO wouldn't stand a chance against in any kind of conventional war.
I'm sure that China, Russia, Vietnam, and DPRK have war gamed these kinds of scenarios together. Although, given what we're seeing unfold in the Middle East, I don't know that US has the capacity to fuck around in Asia any time soon.
I wonder how much will the russians advance while ukrainian munitions are low. Perhaps they can make decisive gains in the next six months?
Almost certainly, and the ammunition situation is only going to get worse for Ukraine going forward. The west has now run through the existing stocks, and the industrial capacity doesn't exist to produce ammo at the rate it's being consumed. On top of that, the west is now forced to divert some of that to the crisis in the Middle East. On the other hand, Russian ammo production has been ramping up. I think we've hit the inflection point where Russian army will be getting stronger while Ukrainian army will continue to deteriorate. If things keep going the way they are then we'll likely see a collapse in Ukrainian combat capacity because most of the motivated and trained people will be dead.