China set to lose 60 percent of population by century's end
China set to lose 60 percent of population by century's end
In light of new data showing China's population shrinking for the second year running, a Shanghai-based think tank has drastically changed its 2100 forecast.
The article said it well - why do we consider a slight decline in population of any country right now a horrible thing? The planet needs it.
We know why, because degrowth means less wealth in the pockets of the owners of news organizations
Is it bad for me to be apathetic or is there something in it for the commoer?
Like I'm ready to shrug and say "personal problem bro" to the wealth reduction of the elite. Wondering what else needs to be considered.
Because almost every country and economy has been built on the assumption of exponential growth of a constantly renewing pool of young workers that will pay for the upkeep of the growing elderly population. For example, currently 18% of the Chinese population is over 60. It's going to be roughly 40% by 2050ish.
The planet will definitely be happy though. Humans, not so much.
Declining population doesn't mean a lot if the remaining population continue to consume just as much if not more than the previous generation.
As if by the end of the century there will be any humans left …. here, have a kudo for that unfettered optimism.
Hey now, Zuckerberg's private bunker seems pretty sturdy to me
I’ll admit, it’s close but I do prefer climate catastrophe over The Zunker
You need a lot of company and knowledge and luck to survive without a bigger network (eg a whole country) and without task splitting communities (eg a whole country) supporting the little and big needs just for food, let alone clean water or medicine or hygiene or energy or defense or whatever.
That bunker is just a fancy way to die a little later. He may carry on for a year, maybe even two before lack of everything will kill him - if noone capable attacks that bunker which pretty sure will happen within weeks as it's a prime target after everything else had been looted.
That is if we manage to not nuke ourselves by then
The thousand-year-old viruses thawing out of the permafrost will get us long before any nukes do…
These "studies" are always silly, just drawing a line between two years birth and death rates and saying it'll continue forever.
Same every where else. The world is burning
This is the best summary I could come up with:
By 2100, the world's second-largest population could number just 525 million, the Shanghai Academy of Social Sciences (SASS) has predicted.
The report came on the heels of Chinese statistics bureau data showing that more people died than were born in China for the second consecutive year in 2023.
"It amazes me how everyone seems to agree that the planet already has too many people whose demands for even the basics of existence like food, water and shelter are placing intolerable demands on the ecosystem—yet as soon as the population of a country begins to decline, its government reacts with near panic," the Associated Press quoted June Teufel Dreyer, Chinese politics specialist at the University of Miami, as saying.
This can lead to a shortage of skilled workers, decreased labor supply, and increased pressure on a country's medical and social welfare systems.
To this end, both the central and local governments have in recent years introduced measures to entice couples to have larger families.
However, these have so far had a limited overall impact in the face of changing preferences among young urbanites, China's slowing economy, and the higher cost of living in first-tier cities.
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