Sure, an AI watches 30k hours of video games and is heralded, but when I watch 30k hours of video games, I need to "move out and make something" of myself.
In Graphic Design, technology removed a lot of specialists. Used to be you needed a type guy, a colour guy, an art director, and an illustrator for each and every project.
Now that's all the same guy.
Same thing is going to happen to coders I think. Look around at your team, think of everything they are currently doing, then understand that soon these will all be your sole responsibility.
“replace” is, as always, oversimplified… the job of programming will likely change for sure. programming languages will be built around AI generation, and programming will become prompt creation that looks at the big picture rather than the minutiae of code: just like it did when we stopped coding in ASM and started coding in higher order languages, or scripting languages, etc
It all just moves up a level really, I’m the lead at my company and writing code is maybe like 25% of what we do. A lot of it is about connecting different services, physical product inventories, other company integrations , taking customized requests from the CEO, identifying where things are and why they are laid out this way.
I work at an E-commerce company, however we have four buildings and do a lot of manufacturing and distribution. Multiple connected websites, internal and external, wikis, inventory programs and then multiply that by other companies integrations.
I’m just saying, when it comes down to it, it’s gonna take awhile for an AI to do that. Sure it’s gonna be great at writing some sick for loops and generations 95% of a full script, but that has to be connected to real world things, other assets outside of the scope of web development.