That would be in the far future if even. Right now there are many ways to identify an AI generated picture especially if it has people in it (the infamous hands problem). And there's software that can reliably tell, too.
It's, as always, not a question about the tech but how we deal with it. If we were all reasonable and questioned such pictures if they pop up somewhere, you'd be right. However, if just enough people believe them to be real, the damage is done, even though if it proven to be fake afterwards.
That is most likely the reason blackmail and believing fakes are real didn't die and never will. Too many people believe what they want to believe, no matter what the actual truth is.
Ai will give opportunities to the handicapped in a very near future. Imagine a paraplegic artist or coder or sculptor who can describe to a machine their 'vision' . They can do that now even with a picture. Soon they can do that with a 3d machine. I don't mean 'make a painting of the mountains' but instead 'cadmium red mixed with yellow brush stroke in circles'.
When you think of AI try not to think of the bad actors. Try to think of the good things that can come from it. All the worlds that will be opened up for people.
I don't disagree with the point you're making*, but please, #SayTheWord - we are disabled, not handicapped (note that at the end of this they also discuss a shift to person first language, as in "person with disability", which some people do prefer, but many others, myself included, still favour simply "disabled" or "disabled person/adult/child/whatever is relevant").
*I will just say that disabled people currently needing to, in most cases, exchange privacy and sometimes even security so that the companies selling these devices can make even more money, for access to these new technologies, is not something we should be ok with, and we should be fighting for accessibility that isn't dependant on profiteering, but instead on the actual will to include disabled people in society.
Unfortunately AI "art" is almost exclusively bad actors, using massive datasets of scraped and stolen work without consent, copyright, or license. It doesn't have to be that way, and hopefully in the very near future the ethics and legality will be clarified and things will change, but right now AI "art" is simply plagiarism on an unprecedented, industrialized scale.
By the way, there are quite a lot of disabled artists around today.
You may be right in some ways, but if encourage you (or anyone) to not use theoretical disabled people as counterpoints. Ideally, cite something someone has said instead.
I understand the impulse, but doing so often makes people sound more disabled today andputs words in the communities' mouth.
There are paraplegics writing and creating art today. There is a great list of needs they have from society which precedes ai assistance.
More nefarious people (not saying you, to be clear) also do this to veil shitty tech or policies. "Think of the disabled, with targeted advertisements based on personal data we'll make using the web less burdensome"
You possibly haven't considered the impact of unethical tech companies and governments using AI and pilfered genetic data to do any number of fucked up things.
It’s already over. Our entire society is gonna collapse in the next couple of decades because of AI and climate change. So… I dunno, brace yourself.
Humanity has no self-restraint. If they can, they do. For money. For power. For advantage. For lust. Anything and everything.
Sorry to be such a downer, but the show’s already over. If you think otherwise, tell me please who and how is going to prevent lies, misinformation and deceit on a mass scale from ripping society apart? I hate to be right in this case, but I am. :-(
AI powered tooling is amazing. I already use it regularly for my work (I'm a programmer). It's primarily in the form of intelligent auto complete (lookup GitHub copilot for an example). But AI can also do stuff like catch some bugs, automatically address code review comments, etc. I look forward to seeing it being able to generate larger blocks accurately (in particular, I'd love it to automate test generation -- it currently can only handle very basic cases).
I'm sure other industries can benefit similarly. Eg,
Video game level design could take in some assets you made in the theme of what you want and then generate slight variations. We've already had procedural generation of stuff like plants for ages (you can generate countless slightly different tree models, for example). This is just the next step into more complicated structures. For example, suppose you're making a huge office space, like in Control. Many desks and whiteboards in that game suffer from asset reuse. AI could help give slight variations to make the setting feel more natural.
Graphics designers I'm sure already benefit from "magic eraser" functionality. It used to be time consuming to remove something from an image. Now it's easy. I'm sure the next step is generally easier image editing, like moving objects in an image (Google demoed something like that at I/O).
Countless scientific uses, especially for chemistry and biology, because AI can be really great at constraint solving. We're already seeing this. Specialized AI is better than doctors at diagnosing certain tumors, for example.