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I've basically ignored Lemmy. I've spent a grand total of less than ~4 minutes here. Over time I just came to ~4 threads, I sorted by "top", and I felt like I was at Reddit so I immediately left. Today was no exception...
If Ukraine does not win, WW3 is the inevitable outcome in the next 10 years.
If we start from the premise of "conflict with Russia and China are inevitable", isn't a much smaller and relatively safe war where one of the countries gets to test out the issues with its logistics and mobilizations efforts not a good thing. Like if you're a NATO think tank guy wouldn't you rather that Russia discovers its military has corruption issues to the point of incompetence during WWIII rather than a precursor war that lets it sort that out?
Also, if you're NATO the last thing you want under those assumptions is an analogue to the Spanish civil war where everybody gets to see how good their latest and greatest toys are in an actual battlefield. Half of NATO's arsenal is made up of MIC make-work projects so utterly divorced from reality that it's a miracle they don't fall out of the sky or break down right off the assembly lines, and revealing as such just makes everyone take you far less seriously than before.
There's a reason West Africa is telling France to fuck off right now, and it's 100% encouraged by the shitshow in Ukraine.
Counterpoint: half of the marine corps vehicles breaking down within the first 24 hours of the first Iraq war, ultimately either getting abandoned or towed off the battlefield without a single shot fired, was very funny.
The fact that both militaries had access to latest gen tech and the deciding factor is who can get most 50s artillery shells to the front is really damning lmao
