I think the point of this comic is that AI is doing all of the fun creative stuff for us but the jobs that we actually hate doing are beyond its capabilities.
Haven't most tax returns been automated since way before AI? Most methods can pull and auto-pop all the needed info. Usually after I give it my SSN or sometimes a number or two from the W2 it's done but for some clicking through review screens.
They have, yes. Doing math for your taxes is as simple a task as doing math that needs to be applied to your taxes in the correct order. There's no need for AI in that process at all.
The only potentially difficult part (massive "potentially" here) that doesn't involve math is probably having a UI that intuitively guides the user into selecting the right things that apply to them (if that data can't already be queried from somewhere else like a government site). But you don't really need AI for that either.
So what if people with no talent or money for commissions can get some joy seeing their imaginations rendered by a computer? You have to pay some artist or just have the ideas in your imagination.
Have you actually done a large, nuanced return by hand. What does X mean? Where is X in this form? (cuz they don't use the same name). And do I need a Form 1234-56-A for that?
Like I understand what all of the concepts, but confirming and digesting the rules and paperwork is non trivial. Paying 300/hr for accountants to do it is even more painful.
The 1040ez is even worse! Everything in the 1040ez the government already has on you!
1040 with a schedule A I get. If you have some sort of situation where you need to deduct medical debt or something like that, something the government wouldn't already have.
But 1040ez...literally is you just sending the government the info on your W-2.
There's cases where the government doesn't have all the information they need to automatically generate them for you. That usually applies to businesses, though, since their accounting department is supposed to keep track of expenses and correct their tax filings before submitting them.
That's not a reason the government shouldn't make it automatic/easier for the vast majority of the population, though.
The government doesn’t have all the data. For example, if you pay a guy to install energy efficient windows, you will need to tell them so that you can get the credit.
What does the last sentence even mean? Let's just ignore that.
That being said, why do you think the vibe of "doing taxes is a chore" and the meme "they should teach taxes in school" come up regularly?
I can think of multiple ways in which "AI" could help in doing taxes. LLMs could rephrase a form request in multiple ways or easier language to help people understand what is being asked of them. Language models could provide examples and cross references. You could have image models scan and recognize your receipts. A model trained on tax datasets could validate inputs beyond simple syntax / value checking and e. g. ask a person if they really meant to enter that one weirdly high value.
Naturally, the final result needs to be checked by the person submitting it and the program can't be held liable, but please let's not ignore the fact that related technology could be employed in a useful manner, I'm tired of discussions where perfect is the enemy of good.
And let's not pretend doing taxes is incredibly easy for everyone. If you organize all your receipts perfectly all year round and always know what to put into every field of every form, good for you. Maybe there is someone else out there now suddenly having multiple jobs, or a single parent not knowing how and if to file some social benefits, both struggling with their taxes though. Maybe there are multiple countries with wildly varying tax processes, too, of which neither you or I may know anything.
Finally, AI does not always mean a process where a generative model hallucinates data.