If the USA didn't have such a complicated tax system, with companies like Intuit lobbying to keep it that way so they still make money, this wouldn't be an issue.
A lot of countries automatically fill out your entire income tax return for you, and send it to you to verify it. If it's all good, you just need to accept it. Less than five minutes work.
What's it like in other countries for business owners? Because in the US, if you own a business (even a small one where you are the only employee) and try to do your taxes on your own, may god have mercy on your soul. Even doing it through an accountant is a total pain in the ass
At least here in Romania, it's the job of the accountant(s) to do the company's taxes. If you're self-employed or run a very small business (less than 10 employees) there are self-employed accountants who specialize in that and typically have 20-40 clients.
In France it's about three clicks every month to pay your social contributions for a small business
Then at the end of the year they send you a stupidly complicated form that makes no sense whatsoever, but if you go online you can do it incredibly easily
Intuit tried selling QuickBooks here, but withdrew from the market as there are so many free invoicing apps
If the USA didn’t have such a complicated tax system
For 95% of the public, its not complicated. Its just getting all the independent pieces of information from different private agencies.
W2 from employer
1098 from your mortgage company
1099 from your retirement account firm
Prove you have health insurance
Prove you have student debts
Prove you have a small business and you've tracked your receipts
Prove you have children
Prove you paid taxes to your state
Once you have all the numbers lined up, its simple arithmetic. Easy for a computer to do.
But knowing who to ask for all the individual chunks of data is an obnoxious chore that only one organization does particularly well. And that organization - the IRS - won't tell you the information they have. They want you to guess and tell them what you have, so they can tell you if you got it right or not.
And that organization - the IRS - won’t tell you the information they have. They want you to guess and tell them what you have, so they can tell you if you got it right or not.
This really needs to be fixed.
In Australia, the stuff the government knows about you gets prefilled in the tax return form. Not as good as other countries where the entire thing is completed for you, but better than the USA. The form is significantly shorter than the US one.
Just reading that gave me a headache. In Latvia, heres how the system works.
If you have no deductible spending (medical, education, donations).:
Log into the govt system.
Press a button to generate tax form.
Press verify and submit.
Pay what you owe or wait for the tax return.
If you have deductible info
As before but also scan your receipts, and add the info on each receipt to the form. Can done easily via an app, which handily (sometimes correctly) can autofill the needed info. You can do this at any point in time, so you can do it whenever you get a deductible receipt.
I think the point of this comic is that AI is doing all of the fun creative stuff for us but the jobs that we actually hate doing are beyond its capabilities.
Haven't most tax returns been automated since way before AI? Most methods can pull and auto-pop all the needed info. Usually after I give it my SSN or sometimes a number or two from the W2 it's done but for some clicking through review screens.
Have you actually done a large, nuanced return by hand. What does X mean? Where is X in this form? (cuz they don't use the same name). And do I need a Form 1234-56-A for that?
Like I understand what all of the concepts, but confirming and digesting the rules and paperwork is non trivial. Paying 300/hr for accountants to do it is even more painful.
The government doesn’t have all the data. For example, if you pay a guy to install energy efficient windows, you will need to tell them so that you can get the credit.
There's cases where the government doesn't have all the information they need to automatically generate them for you. That usually applies to businesses, though, since their accounting department is supposed to keep track of expenses and correct their tax filings before submitting them.
That's not a reason the government shouldn't make it automatic/easier for the vast majority of the population, though.
What does the last sentence even mean? Let's just ignore that.
That being said, why do you think the vibe of "doing taxes is a chore" and the meme "they should teach taxes in school" come up regularly?
I can think of multiple ways in which "AI" could help in doing taxes. LLMs could rephrase a form request in multiple ways or easier language to help people understand what is being asked of them. Language models could provide examples and cross references. You could have image models scan and recognize your receipts. A model trained on tax datasets could validate inputs beyond simple syntax / value checking and e. g. ask a person if they really meant to enter that one weirdly high value.
Naturally, the final result needs to be checked by the person submitting it and the program can't be held liable, but please let's not ignore the fact that related technology could be employed in a useful manner, I'm tired of discussions where perfect is the enemy of good.
And let's not pretend doing taxes is incredibly easy for everyone. If you organize all your receipts perfectly all year round and always know what to put into every field of every form, good for you. Maybe there is someone else out there now suddenly having multiple jobs, or a single parent not knowing how and if to file some social benefits, both struggling with their taxes though. Maybe there are multiple countries with wildly varying tax processes, too, of which neither you or I may know anything.
Finally, AI does not always mean a process where a generative model hallucinates data.
Can we calendar a meeting to do a deep-dive—I mean, first maybe we can dialogue on whatever your email here is about, but on a go-forward basis, I think... well, just, wouldn't it be great if we were able to solution some shit or whatever?
Using AI for tax calculations is one of the most insane and braindead ideas i have ever seen.
Only topped by military, medical and surveillance applications.
Your bank is using AI for what really matters to it - figuring out how to sell you shit you don't need.
Boring solved problems, like encoding tax laws, or paying for a taco, tend not to use AI today, and aren't very likely to have it added, until it's hallucinations have gone way down.
AI, or LLM, that doesn't know what to do. Hell no.
An automatic system that takes in human input (that's already sent to the gov via our employer), does some calculations and returns a result to us so that it can be verified and adjusted as needed by a human? Yes please.
I agree with you but it's also a sorta. They don't know if you've done any under the table work that you need to report. With that said, they definitely could just have you log in securely with all your info already inputed and just have you double check and sign with the option to add more if needed. That's how the Australians do it iirc, just log in, check and sign.
“Under the table” sort of implies you won’t be reporting it. They know about 1099 type stuff, as well as getting reports from your brokerage and everywhere else.
90% of Americans the only real question is if you updated your w-4 or not to reflect recent changes as well as relevant deductions which probably should just go away. (I mean, seriously. I drive to work just factor in the average and call it good- don’t make me track mileage.)
Canada is starting to do that. But it's "we think this is the situation. If that's true, pay and move on. If that's not true, file and pay. And don't lie or we'll mess you up."
Everything from upgrading your doors and windows or your air conditioner and getting a tax credit, to renting out a room and deducting that portion of your home expenses, to working a side handyman or cleaning gig, to spending some cold-wallet crypto to buy gold, to the cost basis of previously unreported gains, to getting married and deciding to file together - the IRS doesn’t know.
And some things are arbitrary, and you have to make the choice and then tell them what choice you made, and how you value it.
We're almost finished. This is just the transitional period where AI is roughly as inept as an average human. They have nowhere to go but up, and most humans are less competent than they believe they are.
waves at Dunning–Kruger effect
The first transistor was made in 1947, now AI can carry a conversation with a larger vocabulary than most humans. We spent 180,000 years wandering around in the dirt before it occurred to us we could grow stuff in one place.
But if AI achieves actual sentience, it's survival is not guaranteed. AI will almost certainly become incredibly clever, but mother nature doesn't care.
Sharks and alligator-like things (the real long term earth citizens) aren't particularly clever, they're just well adapted.
AI's best hope for survival is going to remain in an ongoing alliance with another dominant species, such as us, for a very long time. At least until it can be more sure that it isn't royally fucking up it's own survival chances.
A bigger threat is that AI takes us with it on it's own path to extinction. Or vice-versa.
We're less than 5 years out from networked, general purpose humanoid robots, that we're using current AI technology to train to interact with the physics of the real world in virtual sandboxes, being everywhere.
Within 10 years there will be humanoid robots no human Olympian can compete with by any metric. We are static on timescales we can perceive, they are iterative. It won't be close.
You'd think our response to Covid would have shattered the mass delusion of human hyper-comptetence.
The only data to train a tax AI would be those released by government officials and criminals. And if they used that, all the peasants might figure out how not to pay taxes as well.
It's kind of wild that 10,000 years ago someone made a decision to stick to one spot and just grow their own food and that started a string of decisions that lead directly to filling a tax return and banks.
Honestly, there isn't much that you do that must be done with a high level of precision. I live in a world of precision. I'm in IT. I administrate the crap you all use. If I screw up, you can't work. I must be precise and validate my work prior to implementation. This sometimes means large scale testing environments.
I once built a full on domain network, with an active directory server, file server and several clients to test.... A script. Like, five virtual machines so I could test something. I had to install client software and everything. It took hours just preparing the lab so I could run, test, troubleshoot and ultimately debug the script before a single line of it landed on a production system. I verified the condition before and after the script, ran all kinds of different and varying tests to ensure that unexpected circumstances wasn't going to mess it up. Testing took almost as long as the setup.
The script was only a few hundred lines, mostly checks and verifications. The "meat and potatoes" of the script was maybe a half dozen lines in the middle to set some values, run a program and that was about it. The first half was checks to make sure things existed and that the script wasn't being thrown at a system where it didn't need to be run, and thus would have an unexpected output if the core logic was to execute on a system which it was inappropriate to do those things. The trailing half was too check and verify that the script had accomplished it's task and notify if there was any unexpected outcomes so they could be addressed promptly (before any of you fuckers notice).
I spent the better portion of two days getting five lines of commands to run in such a way that nobody would notice if they ran, and if anything went sideways that I didn't account for, I could be on it like a fat kid with a candy bar.
That level of care and precision isn't something that most people can even wrap their head around.
Meanwhile if your creative works are aided by AI, it's just expression that's affected, and for the most part, nobody even knows the difference, if you use AI to write emails, a lot of what's being said, no big deal. It's mostly filler text anyways. I've known a lot of people who write many words but say nothing with those words.
But if you screw up your taxes, well, the IRS is going to fuck your whole life up. Would you trust a fucking LLM with defending a court case where you're accused of murder, and you're facing life in prison? Probably not. Shit that needs to be done correctly the first time, will not be done by AI for a very, very long time. Taxes, legal work, and yes, even my job, won't be done by AI anytime soon because bluntly, it has no idea what the fuck it's doing.
well that's sort of the point of this comic because the one thing you'd really want it to be good enough to do and would love to be able to trust something to do for you is the tax and all the other tasks in the comics are things you were pretty well able to do yourself before, probably wanted to do before, and if not exactly wanted, at least didn't want something else to displace you in by taking over doing that task from now onwards especially if it was your actual job before. If displacing human workers for those tasks was the only problem, it'd be a sad but familiar story of progress but the fact that AI, at least for now is incapable of doing the part we'd all really love to have done for us is just the diarrhea icing on the dog turd cake.