With the GOP primary basically over, what would happen if the supreme court were to bar Trump from candidacy?
With the GOP primary basically over, what would happen if the supreme court were to bar Trump from candidacy?
The GOP Primary is not over, not until Super Tuesday at least. Haley can stay in the race as long as she has money to continue campaigning and being visible, and I don't think she has any problems raising money.
If something were to happen to make Trump ineligible (either via the 14th amendment, a conviction, or a medical issue), the party would have to pick another candidate at the convention, and right now Haley is the only other candidate who can send delegates. The more delegates she earns, the less work she has to do to broker the outcome she wants. So she may stay in all the way to the convention, as long as she has the money to.
(The only caveat is that I thought most Republican primaries were winner-take-all for delegates, I guess NH is not though, because Haley is reported as earning 9 out of 22 delegates.)
I will happily donate as much as I can afford to encourage Haley to run as a third party candidate.
She'll never do that. What might happen is she gets picked by the GOP as their candidate over Trump.
Honestly I don't even know that I prefer Haley to Trump. I'm afraid she'll be just as bad as Trump policy-wise but more effective politically. If nothing else, Trump mobilizes his opposition's base. Biden might still win against Trump but, but can he beat a kinda boring (compared to Trump) candidate?
So that’s something I’m curious about too. Some states were holding off on ruling since the GOP primaries are technically “private party”. It’s not till they actually submit him that he can be challenged on the general ballot. So if that pops up, I assume the GOP would need to submit an alternate or none at all, or you’re gonna see a whole rash of new lawsuits and appeals. At the point will there be enough time?
Parties can choose candidates however they want. It doesn't have to be in a primary, and the primary results don't have to matter. (See the kerfuffle over the Dem Primary in NH this year). It's not like the No Labels party is having any primaries, after all. All six people who are members will probably decide over a nice steak dinner (funded by gullible donors).
The major party nominees won't be formalized until the convention. Until that happens, the party can change rules on a whim. after the convention, though, things get a bit tricky. Remember that we don't cast votes for candidates directly here, we are casting votes for a slate of Electors to the Electoral College. Many states bind electors to vote for the candidate who won the popular vote there, but that is simply a State law and can be changed by a State law. So we could end up with a situation where a candidate is no longer eligible, yet they still get EC votes, and the State needs to decide what to do about it. They could simply release the electors, or pass a law telling them to vote for the new slate the party offers.
The SC seems determined to decide the 14th amendmentissue in a few weeks, though, so we should know that well in advance of the election. But we can't predict the timing of any trial, nor of any candidates' cardiac health.
I've often said the only person standing in the way of despotism in the US is not Joe Biden, it is his Cardiologist. That person needs to keep Joe's heart ticking until 12:05 (DC time) on Jan 20, 2025. After that, Joe can kick off whenever he likes.
Nah....he's gonna kick off like Ruth and fuck everyone with his stupid ego just like she did.
Suuuuurre she could have retired during Obama's term(s) and Joe could have put his efforts behind someone younger (or even a goddamn ham sammich) and sure I could blame Rs for the shit they have been doing but there has been Z E R O effort on the Ds side to make a difference.
Regardless, still going to vote against the shitstains until Ranked Choice voting has a chance in hell....
Until that happens, the party can change rules on a whim.
It's not that simple, really. There are formalized procedures now and any campaign and its candidate would be able to sue (successfully, most likely) that they reasonably relied upon the established and adopted procedures in place at the time of the contests and therefore those procedures may not be changed.
They are going to ignore all laws that are inconvenient to them:
IF Trump isn't permitted to run, maybe they'll run with a placeholder, then have Trump be shoehorned-in somehow, perhaps by Republican-electorate decree...
Legalists, same today as in Yehoshua "Jesus" benJoseph's day, pick & choose which pieces of the letter-of-the-law that they acknowledge.
That has always been their fundamental tactic, along with gaslighting.
Notice how the West held-to Natural Law ( morally-based Law ) in prosecuting Nazis, but .. as soon as that was done .. the West decided that Legal Posit-ivism ( legalism ) is the West's right, and nobody has any right to be threatening any privilege through moral-law, as legalism prohibited that sort of behaviour.
Nothing's changed: human-nature is the same, now, as it was back in the Christian bible's times.
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