The Defence Forces continue to inflict losses on the Russian army; over the past day alone, the defenders killed 1,210 Russian occupiers and destroyed 39 armoured combat vehicles and 23 Russian tanks. Source: General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine on Facebook Details: The total combat losses o...
The thing I can't reconcile, is that Europe is talking about Russia becoming a new emergent threat. Preparing for a mobilized war with Russia.
And I understand that Russia has upped its armament production. But where is it going to get the manpower? If it's already chewed through half a million people in Ukraine, how on earth are they going to mount a campaign against Europe? Even if they have all the equipment
Russia is 146 million people. Even with a high average age, you can count on 20% young adults, and it leaves almost 30 million people able to fight, half men, so 15 millions. Half a million is dead after two years of conflict. There are 14.5 million left. At this pace, war can still go for 58 years.
If course it's not that easy. Russia avoid full mobilisation because it would cause political problems, and we don't know how long the population would support the war. I suspect it would take a very long time.
The problem for Russia is not the human resources, it's their formation. They need training. Or not apparently. It doesn't seem they care much.
400k dead is probably stretching it, but considering that most estimates pointed to somewhere around 310k – 320k at the end of last year, the true numbers probably aren't far from 400k either.