I will stop using Linux / PC for 10 months. What do you think will happen in that period?
Long story short, this year is my exam preparation year and due to my nature I will take extreme measures to prevent distraction and focus on studying. I will decommision my PC, stop browsing Linux & tech related websites and leave this beautiful place called Lemmy. To make things clear, I am not influenced by anyone for doing this.
I want to use this post as a time capsule to revisit after 10 months, so I will write my predictions and also collect everyone's. What do you expect to see in Linux and tech scene in 10 months from now? Here are my predictions:
Pop OS 24.04 will be awesome and be the go-to recommendation when it is released
SteamOS for PCs will not be released yet
Linux market share will be around %2-2.5 in Steam hardware survey
Plasma 6 will be released around January and will be a bit buggy, but most rough edges will be smoothed by the next release in 3-4 months
NVK will have performance parity with official drivers in certain configurations
Wayland will gain wider adoption, even on Nvidia
There will be little to no progress in compatibility with current anti-cheat blocked games
Side note:
Web environment integrity will be adopted only in education industry because it is dominated by Chromebooks at least in US. It will not be adopted by streaming services because highest level of DRM is only available on Edge and Safari. Even if Chrome had WEI support it would be meaningless because Netflix will stream 720p / 1080p anyways. MSFT and Apple will not implement WEI in their browsers in order to preserve the end-to-end control they have currently. Banks will also not implement WEI because they may be still serving customers using legacy (Windows 7) technology or simply using Firefox.
I have a less drastic prediction for Pop. It will release Cosmic, and instead of taking over, it will just rise a few places in the list of commonly recommended distros, and become another DE for people to argue whether it's the best.
GNOME 2 was great. So great that it lives on today as MATE. But I just can't get used to current GNOME at all and can't understand why KDE Plasma isn't popular.
I think there will be even more support for anti cheat games and there is no way NVK even on its supported cards will have performance parity with the proprietary driver.
I was pleasantly surprised to see that my bank has security tips on their website for Windows, MacOS and Linux. They also mention Firefox alongside all the other browser options, so at least they can do this one thing right.
startisback++, files community and more projects are all paid
But there is lots of nice software you can replace the Windows garbage with and have an okay desktop, still phoning home, shit file manager, stupid filesystem reading/encryption capabilities...
Star Citizen may run even better on Linux due to the expected switch of backend from DX11 to Vulkan and they will start pushing out native Linux builds. Or it will be more boken due to lack of support for Vulkan APIs in wine and no native build ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
I predict everyone will be busy rewriting everything in Gtk10 and Qt12.. apart from that, nothing happened except wasting time rewriting software everytime someone decide to deprecate a library everyone depends on.