Bulletins and News Discussion from April 15th to April 21st, 2024 - Between The Darkness And The Dawn, There Rises A Red Star
Bulletins and News Discussion from April 15th to April 21st, 2024 - Between The Darkness And The Dawn, There Rises A Red Star
Image is of Iranian missiles flying over the Knesset, the Israeli parliament building in Jerusalem.
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Israel-Palestine Conflict
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA daily-ish reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news (and has automated posting when the person running it goes to sleep).
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.
Various sources that are covering the Ukraine conflict are also covering the one in Palestine, like Rybar.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Sources:
Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
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Now that it seems certain Ukraine is gonna get its $60 billion, has there been any analysis on how that money can translate into actual battlefield performance for Ukraine. Like, will that money even slow down Russia’s advance? I feel like at this point the money isn’t even all that important relative to the fact that it seems unless NATO commits to massively provocative actions (like sending NATO troops to fight), Russia will still be advancing just at a different pace.
you give the money to the tank so it is motivated to shoot harder
it makes me think that Ukraine will no longer be falling before the US elections given that Russia seems unwilling to do big arrow offensives even to this day but that's about it
I will fully admit I havent followed the war super closely. Wasnt the plan for Russia to do a offensive in summer ? Thats what I heard. Not sure how certain/ sure that is though.
It's been the plan for Russia to do an offensive three months from now for the last 2 years
Fair enough. As I said I only keep surface level attention on the conflict.
просто поверь мне, братан, оно приближается, клянусь чертовым богом
The money wont help because there are no weapons to buy. Everything that has been sent so far has the regular MIC grifter price tag ($52000 trash cans) but now they get a bonus supply shortage multiplier. I'm not sure what the conversion rate ends up being but bullet for bullet against Russia? $60 billion is gonna buy what Russia burns through in a few days to a weeks at most.
I mean, I don't think Russia is burning through >$3 trillion per year, but I get your point. There's nothing left to buy, maybe some shells that aren't going to do much. I think the only way the west can make an actual impact in the war is crossing the big red lines (letting Ukraine shoot off missiles deep into Russia or providing boots on the ground or flying their own NATO jets in the air.
Russia isn't burning through that much money because they don't have to pay NATO MIC grifter prices, he's saying that $60 billion will only buy Ukraine a couple of Russia-weeks worth of ammo because they do
(also half of that money is going to get spent on luxury cars in Kiev and Lviv)
And Arlington and so forth.
It slows Russia's advance insofar as Ukraine cannot pay anyone's salaries without inducing hyperinflation if they don't get a steady flow of dollars. It would be real difficult for the government in Kiev to order people around without paying them.
It will also help them pay domestic arms manufacturers. I read an article recently about Ukrainian arms manufacturers being in financial trouble and looking to export their stuff rather than sell it to the regime who can no longer pay like they used to.
Wasn't the US paying Ukrainian salaries?
Indirectly? Yes. Directly, as in people get checks from US govt? No.
There is/was this talking point, particularly around the time of the US government shutdown threat, that the US would be paying Ukrainian salaries (while US govt employees don't get a paycheck), but I'm pretty sure they just mean that some US taxpayer money goes to the Ukrainian govt, and Ukraine pays out salaries at the same time, so you could sort of say that some of the money ends up as paychecks for Ukrainian officials. They'd be paid in local currency and not US dollars though (except maybe foreigners?).
they will spend it all on strategic terror acts in russia i think.. .
How sure is everyone that this is gonna definitely happen? I guess the democrats could help Johnson survive a leadership challenge but surely that's the kiss of death? Can he survive being carried by the opposition? More democrats voted for this bill than Republicans, it's like the Dems are taking the controls out from over the ostensibly conservative majority. Can't imagine that playing well to the base.
I think the idea is just to keep Ukraine standing. If the army makes it through the summer without collapsing then this continues into 2025.
Obviously $60 bn isn’t enough for Ukraine to win but if we assume the west doesn’t care if Ukraine wins they just want to make sure Russia bleeds then $60 bn is enough to maintain a life-support level of artillery shells and to equip another 500,000 undertrained conscripts with basic kit.
Didn’t Ukraine just ram through conscription changes? Just before this got approved? I think that indicates it was a precondition. The west wont send in really heavy stuff but will arm another meat wall.
At this point, without direct nato involvement, the best Ukraine can really hope for is to keep Odessa.