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Nate Silver's model for the 2024 election is out, currently predicts a 65% chance of a Trump victory.
  • Yeah, his model gave her less of a chance than most others and their podcast constantly, over and over, warned people that this means Trump wins three elections if you run it ten times. People who wrote 538 off because it didn't call the election for Trump are some of the dumbest mouthbreathers you'll run into.

  • Oh Joe...
  • I understand, but how is it viable, from the standpoint of the opposition, to be anything other than a unified party in opposition if there's no chance to bargain for a position in a coalition government, to form a coalition to win an election to make a new government, etc? That doesn't make any sense, why would anyone split like that?

  • Oh Joe...
  • No, the executive is compartmentalized and voted for separately, so there's no dissolution of parliament, negotiations over forming a government, etc. Seems like a small difference, but structurally it's a large and impactful distinction.

  • Muslim nurse in New York fired after calling Israel's war in Gaza 'genocide'
  • A lot of people miss that NY is a liberal state, but in the sort of "commercial liberal" way. It's basically the embodiment of old school moderate liberalism. I'm obviously simplifying, but NY is Democratic, but not necessarily progressive.

  • Potential meme format
  • I had a comment removed for using a racial slur because I called them tankies lol. Poor little snowflakes. Fwiw I'm literally a socialist, I just don't support authoritarianism and genocide and blatant human rights abuses.

  • A cool guide to styles of beer
  • Eh, I totally understand where you're coming from, but I also think that a lot of those up and comers try their hand at hazy IPAs. They might not always be the most polished, but I do appreciate that these new breweries rely more on bold flavor rather than clarified appearance, you know?

  • Sad, but rule
  • Oh I completely agree with you, I'm a more libertarian kind of socialist myself so I definitely don't think liberalism is the answer. I also think that's is disingenuous, and really discrediting to leftists as a whole, when people try to say that the GOP is liberal. They're definitely not; on almost any social issue they are firmly opposed to the liberal position on civil rights, freedom of association, etc etc.

  • 3d6 @ttrpg.network butwhyishischinabook @lemmy.world
    Happy to see the ember of r/3d6 carried here

    Sad to see reddit effectively die, but a big thank you to everyone who set this community up so that the party can keep rolling! (Budum, ting)

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    Goodbye RIF, it was a great dozen years

    Well, it all ended so suddenly, mid scroll through the comments. After a dozen long years RIF, and for me reddit along with it, is finally dead. Thanks for all the entertainment RIF team, sincerely.

    5
    InitialsDiceBearhttps://github.com/dicebear/dicebearhttps://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/„Initials” (https://github.com/dicebear/dicebear) by „DiceBear”, licensed under „CC0 1.0” (https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/)BU
    butwhyishischinabook @lemmy.world
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    Comments 95