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Bulletins and News Discussion from June 24th to June 30th, 2024 - Waiting for War - COTW: Lebanon

Image is of fires in northern Israel set off by Hezbollah, to force settlers to retreat from their occupied areas, in response to attacks on civilians in Lebanon.


I'm not gonna lie to you - I thought Israel would have started shit with Hezbollah by now which would have derailed whatever megathread theme I had planned, so I didn't bother planning one.

If you want a decent couple pieces going over what Hezbollah has done to Israel, then have a look at How 'Israel' Has Lost The North and Hezbollah's Quarterly Report. It's not exactly the most professional analysis, as you'll see if you read it, but it gets the point across and relies on evidence. In essence, Hezbollah has pushed the Israelis back tens of kilometers and decimated their border infrastructure, all while unveiling anti-aircraft missiles that have forced Israel to reconsider bombing runs. They still probably have the ability to turn various towns and cities in Lebanon to rubble, but Hezbollah can do massive damage back to Israel in turn. This has gone on so long with so little meaningful opposition by Israel that border settlements are going a little haywire and tentatively declaring independence from Israel and saying they don't want IDF troops there anymore. I don't take these terribly seriously from a military standpoint but it is indicative of the Zionist settler mindset crumbling over the last 9 months.

We're now at the point where Israel kinda has to go to war against Hezbollah or the entire Zionist ideology of military deterrence and expansion via illegal settlements simply no longer functions, but that war will also lead to massive destruction for military and civilian facilities (ports, power stations, war factories, etc) which is a massive problem for Israel's continued existence. Hamas continues to function inside Gaza despite the surface occupation of significant areas, including the Gaza-Egypt border, and attrition there is leading to big materiel and psychological losses for Israel too. And Yemen has, for all intents and purposes, prevailed against America's failed attempt to thwart their blockade - with some in the army claiming it's the most intense naval battle America has faced since WW2 - and missile strikes are tentatively beginning to hit or at least threaten ships in the Mediterranean Sea.

Nukes are still lurking quietly in the background, of course, but the Resistance is perfectly aware of that and still seems confident to go ahead with operations, so I can't really do anything but shrug and say that I trust them to do what's right.


The COTW (Country of the Week) label is designed to spur discussion and debate about a specific country every week in order to help the community gain greater understanding of the domestic situation of often-understudied nations. If you've wanted to talk about the country or share your experiences, but have never found a relevant place to do so, now is your chance! However, don't worry - this is still a general news megathread where you can post about ongoing events from any country.

The Country of the Week is Lebanon! Feel free to chime in with books, essays, longform articles, even stories and anecdotes or rants. More detail here.

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Last week's thread is here.

1.2K comments
  • Never turn off this website again. I saw the Bolivia news, rushed to the news mega and saw the gates of heaven locked. My hands started trembling as I realised that I had nobody to talk to about internal Bolivian politics. Out of desperation, and may Allah forgive me for these words, I started tweeting. Astaghfirullah wa atoub ilayh

  • Just citing Biden’s twitter account here… he is “appalled” at the protest of land being auctioned off in occupied Palestine (where all the violence came from the Zionist side) but merely “disturbed” that a white American woman tried to drown a Palestine child in a pool recently.

    Fuck you Genocide Joe

  • Gotta say that coups these days are embarrassing. What happened to taking the TV station, having a guy with a goofy military hat deliver a speech on live TV, shooting the president, shutting down the capital, making calls to Washington DC and suspending the constitution. The real pros of the 60s are all dead.

    any officer after 1991 can't coup. all they know is cia, declare martial law, post on twitter, be white, eat shit and die

  • Violence outside L.A. synagogue taxed LAPD, sparks condemnation from Biden, Newsom, Bass

    Sharing this article only to highlight how the propaganda machine works.

    The article first talks about how all these very important people (Biden, Newsom, Bass) are condemning pro-Palestine protestors for targeting a Jewish synagogue.

    The last part includes several sympathetic interviews with members of the congregation.

    Sandwiched in there is a brief mention of why that specific synagogue was protested at the specific time: there was a presentation/meeting going on about buying up land in Gaza. So… just a little “how can we take advantage of the genocide and ethnic cleansing going on?” shindig. Never is anyone on the pro-Palestine side even interviewed to give their side.

    The way it is written gives the uncritical reader (most readers) the impression that Jewish congregants are being targeted just for being Jewish. That they give a mention of the stated reason is irrelevant when you soak your article in condemnations from government officials and when you only provide statements from one side.

    Edit: turned on Hasan a moment ago, he’s discussing the protest. Pretty awful stuff coming from the Zionist side that was never mentioned in the LA Times article like “sand n-words go home!” And the violence was entirely one-sided (Zionists attacking protestors) but the article never mentions that, it conveniently focuses on “arrests”.

  • An interesting comment posted on Naked Capitalism by a traveler to occupied Palestine who sheds a little light on what it looks like far from the front:

  • In case anybody forgot, the Biden campaign signaled he would only run for one term in 2019.

    Campaign advisers argue that announcing his intention to only serve one term and signalling that he will choose a younger running mate and cabinet would increase Biden's chances of being the Democratic nominee.

  • One of the most interesting aspects of a declining empire is the anxiety it creates in those administrating it. There are many factions seeking to undo the decline and they all disagree heavily on how to go about that, the result of this division is that they are tearing it apart even more.

  • Macron in a lot of ways seems to be following the Obama playbook. He's a young, by most accounts competent manager of an empire in decline wedded to his neoliberal ways while espousing hope and change. Due to the fact that neoliberalism can't actually do anything besides make a small circle of people an immense amount of money, the state atrophies anyway and brings about mass support for the far-right as the only viable alternative. Macron and Obama both will leave office having done their best to make sure a fascist government gets elected.

  • Are we back? Yes we're

    Gigachad Chad Neutral Beta (Fe)Male Virgin Cuck
    Prigozhin (gotta remember him fondly on the 1 year anniversary of his rebellion) Putin (lil downgrade for uncle Vlad despite the North Korea visit, he's allowing too many security Ls in Russia these days) Zelensky (just hanging around surviving, respect) FPV drone operators (heartless freaks) TCC (accelerating the population collapse by rounding up every 23 year old car mechanic)
    Hamas, PIJ, Qassam, PFLP and all resistance groups in Gaza (Allah's bravest soliders) Hezbollah (accelerating the collapse of pissrael by pounding their north) My soon to be born son (I hope he doesn't rebel and become a cuck) Ukraine peace summit attempts (so funny that the try to make a peace agreement while speaking ONLY to the losing side) UAE (such a deranged nation, hate them as much as the US and Israel)
    The people of Gaza (bravest people ever) Houthis (defeated the great satan in a naval war and still shooting Israel ships like true chads) Euro 2024 (great football, but seeing European circlejerk about European greatness makes me seeth) Western journalists (thank you for proving that this is the least honorable profession) Sunni islamists (unironically supporting Israel against Hezbollah because of muh Ahlul Sunnah)
    Yahya Sinwar (still undefeated) Sayyid Hassan Nasrallah (always speaking from a position of strength, showing the "peaceful protest" cucks how it's done) Fidias (random Cypriot youtuber who won an EU parliament seat, this is how much respect the EU parliament deserves) Emmanuel Macron (very happy that he has initiated the collapse of the cuck European centre-right) Netanyahu (eat shit cuck)
  • US mobilisation is occurring. Ignore the bullshit about evacuations, the fleet will be used as a floating base for special forces operations to deploy from under the cover story of evacuations.

  • Okay, so we're all eyerollingly familiar with the "revolution betrayed, same as the old boss" trope in media and pop history, usually aimed at anything leftist to imply that nobody can ever escape recreating the nightmarish qualities of the status quo, because it turns out that the way things are is just The Way Things Are, for good reason, as nature and your wise betters ordained. It's the natural order, and naive radicals who think they can build something different are destined to be seduced by wealth and power into becoming the very despots they blah blah blah, we know how it goes.

    As a cultural artifact of capitalist realism and a method of control, it's a well-examined phenomenon. But I want to examine it as an artifact of liberal guilt. Specifically, guilt for supplanting feudalism and then immediately overseeing the horrors of the industrial revolution both inside the core and without. Seeing the way liberals now are sealing their eyes and ears to any evidence of their ideology's culpability in what's going on in the world, and having observed their Quixotic "cannot fail, only be failed" attitude for some time, the Revolution Betrayed narrative now so obviously aligns with other liberal copes that I'm kind of embarrassed I didn't see it before. They believe that they are the best (only) "realistic" option, that if they can't do it then it can't be done. If their ideology and mode of production has failed to deliver a better world after four hundred years, then that means a better world simply is not possible, and anyone who says otherwise is either lying or stupid.

    I think the fact that they think this is inevitable also goes a long way to explaining their semi-mystical view of power. "Power corrupts, absolute power corrupts absolutely" Everyone bows sagely. I don't even necessarily disagree with the basic take here, but they just leave it at this vague truism that is inevitably leveled at those seeking the power to liberate themselves, but not at those from whom people need liberating. Because their power is ordained by law, by the natural order. It turns the phrase into a masochistic civility fetish (literally, like a totem) that whispers to you that it's okay not to fight, that it's "evil" to fight dirty even for your life, and that the most morally pure thing you can experience is defeat. Secular Calvinism and lack of education have done a number on us all here in the states and resulted in generations of highly propagandized "too smart for politics" rubes who are narrow-minded about most things but shockingly credulous about state enemies, utterly sanctimonious but completely lacking knowledge of past and present, liberals, I realized I was just describing liberals, this post is getting away from me.

    Anyway, thoughts on "Revolution Betrayed narratives as Liberalism's Pyramid Head"?

  • been slacking on posting in the newsmega but I can't let this shitpost in verbal form from the Polish president during the Swiss Ukraine summit go unposted:

    In the part of the world which I represent, Russia is often called 'the prison of nations', and for good reason, because it is home to almost 200 ethnic groups, most of which became residents of Russia as a result of the methods used in Ukraine today. Russia remains the largest colonial empire, in a world which unlike European powers has never undergone the process of decolonization, and has never been able to deal with the demons of its past. As members of the international community we have to finally say there is no more space for colonialism in the modern world.

  • Watched the Debate for fun and giggles and was not disappointed. It's real Falling Roman Empire hours, all we need is for Trump to pay the secret service to make him the president and history has repeated itself as a farce

  • https://x.com/ArmchairW/status/1805450204541284734

    I've pointed out on many occasions that the Russians have the capability to launch a strategic offensive in Ukraine basically any time they want to.

    But what I have not addressed is conditions. What would they want it to look like? How would they know when to "roll tanks?"⬇️

    Critical to this analysis is just how successful the Russian decision to adopt a "ground and pound" approach to destroying the Armed Forces of Ukraine has been. Despite the full and enthusiastic backing of NATO and a Ukrainian numerical advantage for much of the war, the Russians have maintained a lopsidedly positive loss-exchange ratio against their enemies throughout. Ukraine is going into demographic collapse while Russian society at large has barely noticed the war.

    @MNormanDavies pointed out some time ago that the Stavka has placed a heavy emphasis on efficiency in this war. Many Russian decisions at the operational-strategic level can be explained simply by their seeking the most efficient means to inflict mass casualties on the AFU with the lowest risk to themselves. Thus, any decision to transition to high-speed, mobile warfare from low-speed, positional war can be expected to follow that rubric. In other words, the Russians will launch an offensive to rout the AFU after its back is broken in positional war, rather than attack seeking to "change the game" and defeat the Ukrainians in mobile war. The "game" heavily favors the Russians and they're not in a rush to change it!

    The difference between these scenarios can be seen quite easily by comparing two very successful offensives: Operation Bagration in 1944 and the 1975 Ho Chi Minh Offensive. Bagration routed the once-mighty Army Group Center - at the cost of 180,000 killed in action, three times the total Russian death toll of this war. I'm sure the Russians would much prefer the 8,000-strong butcher's bill of North Vietnam's war-ending 1975 operation - and they have the strategic insight to see that modern Ukraine, as a corrupt and deeply dysfunctional garrison state propped up by endless foreign aid, is far more akin to South Vietnam than Nazi Germany.

    So what does this look like in practice? The Russians are going to keep poking and prodding in their usual methodical way until part of the line collapses "in depth," and then all hell is going to break loose. That could actually be quite soon - for instance, the recent Russian maneuver in Kharkov was likely intended to accelerate this timeline - but regardless, the State Department will be warming up their helicopters shortly afterwards.

    As an addendum, it's just occurred to me that the Ukrainian Hundred Days Offensive of summer 2023 could be likened to Lam Son 719 as a poorly conceived and executed offensive maneuver by an army that had no real idea what it was actually getting itself into... perhaps a topic for examination later.

  • Adoptee diaspora are often some of the most insufferable people. In Guatemala a lot of them get adopted by bougie liberals who fill their heads with US/ white superiority complexes. Then they occasionally come here with their white partners and tell us we’re stupid and backwards for not doing things their way like embracing neoliberalism more.

    I bring them up because one of them got into our org and began his NATO-leftist bullshit almost immediately. Tried to purge me for being “imperialist” because of my positions on Russia/Ukraine war.

    He ended up getting purged instead. He now lives in a gated community with his white wife where he continues to post about how our org has been compromised by Russia.

  • Guys I don’t think Biden has the ability to actually form his own sentences anymore. Even about cornpop. They are all pre-scripted by his staffers and all he can do is robotically repeat a version of the script that has undergone some demented transformation in his swiss cheese brain regardless of the relevancy to the topic at hand, and if you try to ask him anything off-script or a follow-up question, or press him on anything he just short circuits like a “choose your own adventure” game that’s really just railroading you into only one possible ending

  • September Debate would be fire when Biden's Dementia gets worse. Hope he just dies while shouting at Trump about why Chocolate Chocolate Chip is the best ice cream flavour.

  • Yesterday the Palestinian Youth Movement called out the squad and the DSA for their support of Biden

    PYM's response to recent attacks and demonization of the Palestinian liberation movement in the United States by opportunists and members of the so-called "American left":

    For the last 9 months, people all across the United States have organized in opposition to Israel’s genocide, and for the last 9 months, the Biden administration has ignored our mass movement, continuing to arm and facilitate this genocide. Biden and all elected officials who have endorsed him have blood of over 40,000 Palestinians on their hands. Elected officials — self-proclaimed as progressive or otherwise — who have voted to send money to the Zionist entity, or who have vilified the movement for Palestine, have the blood of our people on their hands.

    As we near the 2024 elections, we know that these same elected officials will try to garner support from our community and movement. They, alongside the so-called progressive organizations endorsing them, will use the rhetoric of “lesser of two evils,” “vote out fascism” and “vote blue no matter who” to try to pressure us to back the very politicians responsible for genocide. And when we refuse — which we will — they will blame Palestinian organizations and communities for Republican victories. Let us be clear: the Democrats have no one to blame but themselves.

    In the last few weeks, Democratic Socialists of America electeds Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Jamaal Bowman smeared the Palestine movement, targeting @WOLPalestine for organizing a protest outside an exhibit meant to manufacture further consent for the genocide of our people. Following these smears and in response to AOC, Bowman, and Sanders’ endorsement of genocider-in-chief Joe Biden, WOL called for a protest outside a rally organized by AOC. What followed was a smear campaign against WOL, with so called progressives aiming to fed-jacket WOL for holding DSA electeds accountable.

    For the past few years, PYM and the broader Palestine movement has sought to hold DSA accountable for its relationship and support for elected candidates who directly and materially support Israel and the Zionist movement through their votes for military aid, repression of the Palestine movement, and repeated attacks and smears of our movement. As a result of these efforts, we have witnessed DSA members smear, vilify, and fed-jacket our organization and members, as well as DSA members who support a more principled and concrete position on Zionism.

    The so-called “progressives” of the Democratic party, from AOC to Bowman to Sanders, are complicit in this genocide: from endorsing Biden, to voting to send money to the Zionist entity, to smearing Palestinian organizations and conflating anti-Zionism with anti-semitism. Let us be clear: no amount of “lesser of two evils” rhetoric will bully the Palestine movement into supporting those complicit in the genocide of our people. We affirm that we have not only a right, but an obligation, to disrupt the activities of all electeds complicit in this genocide.

    We condemn attempts to scapegoat the Palestinian movement for the results of any upcoming elections, and reject attempts by self-proclaimed progressive organizations to paint Palestinian organizations as unstrategic for refusing to buy into the push to “vote blue no matter who” while US bombs continue to rain down on our people in Gaza.

    The lack of accountability we are being asked to accept is in fact a self-fulfilling prophecy whose promise is oppression and mass death. Our movement has the right to hold accountable those who deviate from these principles, especially when others will not.

  • Does Biden withdrawing even matter at this point? It'll just make the Dems look even more pathetic for waiting so long to acknowledge reality, so it won't matter who they replace him with. Trump wins. It's joever.

  • Al Jazeera

    Israeli forces in Gaza City ‘executing’ Palestinians on the spot:

    Rights group The Euro-Mediterranean Human Rights Monitor says it has received reports that Israeli forces are committing “widespread massacres” in the Shujayea and Jdaida neighbourhoods in Gaza City.

    “Our field team is receiving reports of dozens, possibly hundreds, of victims being executed on the spot or having their shelters bombed,” wrote Ramy Abdul, the chairman of the Geneva-based group, in a post on X.

    Earlier, we reported the UN reporting that at least 60,000 people had been displaced from Shujayea as the Israeli military announced intensifying operations there.

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