Vice President Harris boasts a 13-point lead over former President Trump among women voters in a new poll, a notable edge with a major voting bloc that could be critical for her ticket in November. An Economist/YouGov poll taken this week found 51 percent of women who are registered voters said they...
Vice President Harris boasts a 13-point lead over former President Trump among women voters in a new poll, a notable edge with a major voting bloc that could be critical for her ticket in November.
An Economist/YouGov poll taken this week found 51 percent of women who are registered voters said they support Harris, while 38 percent backed her Republican rival. On the other hand, Trump, who has struggled with women voters, saw a 7-point lead among men.
Ignore the polling and just vote. We haven't won until we've won.
The odds look fantastic but there's always the chance a lot of people simply shrug it off and consider the election already over due to the odds looking to be so overwhelmingly in her favor. Don't be like that. Go out and vote unless you want dementia donnie to slip back in.
Current polling still puts DonOLD in the lead for the Electoral College. Odds are NOT fantastic, but are improving. Need to keep the pressure on for sure.
A lot of women, even in the US, don't really have the agency you might think they have. There are many women in echo chamber communities, follow only a certain narrative of news, are married to men that wear down their beliefs, or even could be threatened if they outwardly supported anything other than what they have been told. Many of these people have existed in this kind of environment their entire lives. When you think about things like that, it's very sad, but it starts to make a lot more sense. I'd like to emphasize with these people. Some of them are men too. It's not just women affected this way. We're often very much the products of our environment.
Lemme say, personally, as an older woman, Hillary absolutely didn't capture me. I still remember when she blamed video games for society's problems. I grew up being underwhelmed by her. I voted and all but my point is if I had to make myself do it, there were lots of women I knew who wouldn't bother.
Harris is sounding more and more like someone I'm excited to vote for. You can't buy that. I am unsurprised she's leading with women now.
As an older woman, those were my thoughts exactly. While I voted for Hillary, I didn't feel confident about it. I'm very excited to be voting for Kamala Harris
It's because the Republicans have a structural advantage due to the electoral college. So Democrats need a larger margin in the popular vote to win enough seats, whereas Republicans can win even without winning the popular vote (as they did in 2016).
The Republicans have an additional structural advantage this year, as they are perpetrating massive acts of sabotage against the election system itself by inserting election deniers into positions of control over it. Between that, their control of the House, and control of SCOTUS, anything short of a Harris landslide could give them an opening to sow enough confusion and doubt to steal the presidency.
Actually, electoral wise I have Harris at 278, Trump 260. And that is giving Trump PA, NV, and GA. IMO Harris will take at least two of those states. The blue wall.
I would probably say that if you're voting for trump. You're either a bigot, cultist, or the most gullible person in the world. Some sort of combination of all 3.
Watching "men" idolize Trump has to be the weakest thing I've ever seen. He isn't strong, intelligent, gentile, or even remotely alpha in presentation or action.
He is one of the most fragile cowards on the planet. He cannot handle even the slightest criticism. He's lazy as fuck and constantly watching TV or golfing.
And those are things that only come into focus ince you get past the parts where he is literally a rapist, insurrectionist, and con man. It is beyond comprehension that anyone considers him with any amount of respect whatsoever.
The answer, as always with extremism, comes back to indoctrination, disenfranchisement, and finally, radicalization.
There have been tons of studies in this, but at a high level, men are indoctrinated by constantly being put under a lens of toxic masculinity by their peer groups and male role models.
Then they become disenfranchised from "mainstream" ideals, not hard to do with the mental health crisis and wealth disparity we see in the world every day. Or the simpler method of being raised in a small community (a church or small town) where such progressive ideas are frowned upon and demonized.
And finally, they search for meaning and inclusion in an 'in group'. This is natural human behavior, and is preyed upon by a laundry list of bad actors who are all too happy to offer answers, meaning, and most of all, some nebulous group to blame and attack for your problems. This step in particular has become easier and easier for more extreme groups with the advent of the internet.
It's a vicious cycle. And that's not to say the victims here are blameless, because of course they made their choices along the way, but they are indeed victims.
It wasn't all that long ago that the Republican Party invested substantially in cultivating women candidates in the party. Reagan and Bush Sr in particular made a big to-do about advancing women in their administrations and through the courts. Primarily the wives and daughters and family friends of their mega-donor friends, of course. But by god, Republicans weren't afraid to put nepo hires into high office, regardless of gender!
Clearly not enough women are willing to stand up for their rights, frankly. How the hell is it only a 14 point lead? I get that's a big lead, but I'd expect an 80 point lead given what we know about Republicans/Trump and women's bodily autonomy.
I'm glad Trump hasn't stepped down. A more conventional candidate would quite possibly beat Harris but his continuous blunders are paving the way towards the first female president of the US. It's unfortunate that he's been allowed one term but after he showed what he's like, with him as the alternative a woman has a great fighting chance. I believe Kamala wins and will come across as competent, and we are going to see more women as state leaders worldwide.
More women as state leaders you say? So we might finally see female leaders in countries like India, Argentina, the UK, Pakistan, France, Turkey, Bangladesh, Ukraine or Germany if only the US would be the shining example to the world?!
I'm sorry, but when it comes to social progress, the best the US can hope for is finally catching up. Any option to be exemplary was definitely gone by maybe the 1970s
Nikki Haley is in the best possible position for a Republican right now.
If Harris wins and Trump's trials go forward, making him a non-factor 4 years from now, she can run in 2028 on a platform of making a clean break from the Trump years, and give the Republicans a fresh image to run against an incumbent Harris.
Yet she hasn't really burned all of her MAGA bridges, and if Trump wins his 2nd term, she can definitely still also run in 2028, particularly if VP Vance turns out to be as much of a dud as we all think he will.
And she's only 52. She has been in the national spotlight since Trump made her UN Ambassador, and has proven herself competent enough to do that job without getting pulled directly into Trump World. As long as she continues to display the competence that the rest of the party lacks, she will be the Republican nominee eventually. If she misses in 2028, she will have at least 2 more election cycles of relevancy.
Harris is a better candidate than Hillary but I agree with you, her polls look great relative to how Biden was doing but objectively it's still extremely close. Between that and all the cheating avenues the republicans have I still think odds are in favour of Trump becoming president again.
The next cycle of polls will give a clue as to if the momentum shift keeps going. Trump has had a couple of disastrous weeks and seems to be spiralling a bit (and notably low-energy), but we all know his base is so secure that he probably won't lose any voters over it. Also he will regain the RFK voters soon, which is bad news for Harris.