It's been the opposite for me, the older I get the more support I need. I was unmedicated until I was 30 and gave up the ghost.

We are so incredibly fucked, yet the average norwegian is too fucking propagandised to see it. I often hear "duuh, we'll fight them in the mountains"

Every Nord and Finn thinks they can be Simo Hayha but the majority live in completely urbanized environments and haven't had to deal with the harsh realities of country life. But, yeah, you'll survive the mountains buddy.

The "international" community keeps pointing out how underdeveloped Russia is, as if having labor aristocracy soldiers is better than having ones that had to chop wood at grandma's house to keep the temps above 40 because grandma refused to leave her village.

The "rich countries" have a really fucking warped view of war.

Thanks Regan.

"auth" is the opposite of "lib" duh. There's a American Prestige where Daniel Bessener argues exactly this, that "authoritarianism" means nothing at worst and "not liberal" at best.

You don't think permanent removal is at least part of the point of prisons/jails? Seems like there are quite a few people who think of prisons as a way to get rid of "undesirables" and there has been a constant push to speed up death penalty proceedings. The entire probation/parole system seems like a way to keep people coming back.

I agree that in a microcosm and at the individual level it's a removal of undesirables, and it works that way in rich locales, but there are way more poor people than there are rich people, and way more poor prisoners than rich prisoners.

The problem is that prison industrial complex needs bodies. The other extractive bit of this is that the revolving door of US jails justify the thin blue line's enormous extraction of local resources. The majority of the imprisoned in the US are in jails waiting arraignment. It's a revolving door. These people end up being locked out of a real life because the system is punitive, and feeds itself. So while it does control where populations of people are, it is not a permanent removal in the same way where you empty San Francisco of all Japanese people and move them all to empty land.

Plus the entire system was built around putting black people in prison to continue slavery. How is that not permanent removal? The US has basically just been making baby steps towards prison reform for 100+ years so it isn't quite as blatant these days, but literally millions of people have been permanently removed by it

Remember that slavery is not removal. Death is not removal. Slavery is extraction. The US is not removing black people, it is trapping them. That's the history of slavery and anti-slave patrols that seeps into law enforcement. It's a strategic difference that implies a difference of intent. We are not removing communities, towns, neighborhoods etc, of the black population to force them into slavery. We are trapping individuals in the legal system which in aggregate affects those communities, towns, and neighborhoods but we are not "emptying the cities".

Notably the comparison falls apart a little because originally gulag were often seeded with mass population transfers, but towards the middle/end of the soviet union gulags had a stable enough rotating population to simply shard a larger camp into smaller camps at the periphery. By that time people were sentenced to gulags individually rather than transferred en-masse.

It's a fuzzy distinction for sure, but the main distinction is that we're moving bodies one by one, not street by street/neighborhood by neighborhood/town by town/etc.

"Winning a war" with Russia from the NATO perspective is a task that would require every NATO member to engage in a total war that would wipe out a large portion of Eastern Europe.

There are NATO members who would balk at this immediately such as Turkey. There are NATO members who would be blood thirsty and balk at this once the war started, and Russia became a real threat (rather than imagined) inside their borders, which is almost every Eastern European and Nordic Country.

I cannot see Norway going to war with it's neighbor at the behest of America.

Prisons are closer to a hybrid financialized gulag system than concentration camps. The ultimate goal of concentration camps is permanent removal. The ultimate goal of gulags was economic extraction. US Prisons and Jails function in this way in the sense that many governments in the US use prison labor. However this goes further in the sense that the bodies of prisoners are typically commodities in and of themselves when you're looking at the interplay between private for-profit prisons and the various governments they contract with.

But we've had actual concentration camps for immigrants along the Southern border for decades, these camps are also hybrid financialized systems because some of them are also run by for-profit companies.

America is simply the synthesis of the horrors of humanity with a financial twist!

I usually drive my wife to the train in the mornings. She usually listens to NPR morning edition for quick updates. We bitch about how lib they are in the car.

This morning she woke me up and NPR was already playing, it happens sometimes. I hear about this collision. The first thing in my head and out of my ADHD mouth at 6:40AM was "Shit, Iran finally got SpongeBob".

My wife was a figure skater as a teen and now plays Women's hockey. She's still into figure skating as a sport. In the car she elaborates on how crazy the crash was because it was full of figure skaters and she was just watching figure skating Nationals. She has a ticket to Worlds this year. I felt kinda bad about "SpongeBob" but I still think it was a good bit without any context.

Bumping Lena's story she's the OG of DIY HRT on the web. Full process is here

find a way to initiate the whites-only rapture

Melanin is too heavy to be lifted by their Lord's Grace.

good bit

I know an artist that got super rich off of NFTs, she didn't own any or had anything to do with the crypto side she just made the "apes" though I think hers were mostly fairies. She's very good at the whole "industrial artist" gig. NFTs honestly seemed like a gold rush for people with the ability to navigate that space. She cleared half a million one year.

There's a tradition of the Soviet intelligensia being temporarily embarassed nobles, see big fans of Bulgakov.

His only mistake is that the gold bars were stamped "Made in Egypt". Just like TikTok if they were of American provenance you get a pass.

What you're afraid of is precisely what was tried with outsourcing dev jobs. That proved to work in some areas where you have very boring crud apps, but was a complete failure in others. I expect LLMs are just going to work out in a very similar fashion.

Okay but like again, I'm not afraid of losing my job. I'm afraid that we're going to lose real capability as a society. It's how our oligarchs are practically morons compared to past oligarchs who built hundreds of libraries, or how we don't have the real capacity in the US to build rail.

I'm currently working as a platform architect coordinating 5 teams over multiple products building a platform for authoring, publishing and managing rich educational courses across multiple different grade levels. I do most of the greenfield development still, I personally manage a DSL and tools for it, while figuring out platform requirements and timelines for other teams including my own. I used to work on a real time EEG system doing architecture and signal processing. I've architected and implemented medical logistics platforms. I've been a first engineer at a couple of startups. I've literally written purpose built ORMs, schedulers, middleware frameworks, and query frameworks from scratch. I've worked at almost every major common role at a principal level except security (which is mostly fake) and embedded so front end, back end, database optimization/integration, infrastructure, machine code on JVM and X86, and distributed computing. I haven't work in niches like networking, industrial, ML or quantum, I'd only really want to explore quantum or networking in reality. But quantum is something you typically need PhDs for otherwise it's gonna be a bit grunty. OSS may bring up engineers for some of these roles, but in practice the majority of OSS projects don't reach the level of complexity that I've worked at -- the ones that do aren't community projects they're corporate ones.

Very few people can step into my shoes, most principal engineers I've met average out at a large project where they implemented a strangler once or twice. The system currently has a hard time reproducing me, if the bottom falls out it's gonna be good game. I'm happy that LLMs are helping you rediscover your passion, but the kind of stuff you're talking about are toys. Personally they're not fun, they're mostly boring, I enjoy building large technical systems in complex problem spaces in a high level reproducible way. Everything else gets stale quickly. I've built out systems where if you blow on the code the tests turn red without test maintenance and creation being a burden. The goal was high value test in 5 minutes in that system. The future I see is that everything is just shittier because the skill that is hard to find and is dying is understanding the essential complexity at the 10,000 ft view, the 100 ft view, the 1 ft view, and the 1 micrometer view. I can barely find developers who can innately understand essential complexity at one of those view points. I've met about 20 who can do all 4 and I've met maybe like 400-ish devs in my life.

The only passion project I wanted to start I basically decided to call off because if successful it would be bad for the world. I wanted to build a high level persona management software that could build swarms in the tens of thousands without being discovered.

If LLM removes programming as a job, might be nice, but in practice it's just gonna mean more people on the struggle bus.

And as I already pointed out above, the problem here isn't with automation but with capitalism. In a sane system, automation would mean more free time for people, and less tedium. People are doing these jobs not because they want to be doing them, but because it's a way to survive in this shitty system.

There are certainly bad programming jobs, but programming jobs in general are extreme labor aristocracy. Yes people are chasing the bag, but they're certainly not "survival jobs". Within the system until you reach senior levels is no real discriminator between "bag chaser" and "person who is trying to learn", both these are going to get squad wiped.

There's certainly still going to be a path to being a SE. But it's going to be autodidact hobbyists who start extremely young. As a person who has been running Linux since 5th grade, who got a CCNA at 16, who has only had programming or network jobs since high school, this is the worst path because the reality of the career at scale murders your passion. If I don't age out I'm betting my next 10 years are going to be uncomfortably close to Player Piano, and that's something that's entirely dreadful. Instead of teaching juniors to program at scale while giving them boring CRUD tasks, I'll be communing with machine spirits so "they" can generate the basic crud endpoints and the component screens.

The reality of being a greybeard is that if you're close to retirement in this industry like my dad is, you're gonna do the same shit jobs as the bag chasers. They'll stick you in the basement and steal your stapler if you even make it past the vibe check interview. The only way to avoid this is to be a lifer somewhere, but that in itself is a challenge.

The difference between the previous developments and now, is that it may improve productivity now in your case and the case of the 1000 juniors, but tomorrow it's going to actually undercut demand for people. Building a system that builds and deploys applications has been the goal of several public and private projects I've been privy to. I agree this exact use-case that you linked is an example of a way to not have to learn ANTLR or how an AST works and flip a coin if it works. In practice though, this is step 1. Code generation has improved significantly in the last year alone across the whole LLM ecosystem. The goal isn't' to write maintainable code or readable code, the goal is to write deploy-able code with 90% feature coverage. Filling the last 10% with freelancers or in house engs. depending on scale. To me that's a worse job than the job I have now, at least now I can teach others how to do what I do. If that's taken away from me I'm not fucking doing this job anymore. I don't care about computers because in reality this job at scale is about convincing morons to stop micromanaging how you build things.

Can't wait for RFK Jr. to let the free market decide how much listeria people choose to ingest.

I'm so excited for this

Yes and?

1. They're getting paid.
2. It's a job.
3. They're humans who can choose to be better.
4. They're humans who can choose to fight their bosses out of some idiotic love of the game to the detriment of their own mental health because they're crazy. (I'm describing myself).
5. They're humans who can stall or break awful things from coming to pass by refusing to work on something or sabotaging it.

This is about a door to those possibilities closing, not about how many software developers are forced through it. I'm not going to cheer on an awful totalizing future dark age of technology simply because the current odds are bad.

And yeah this won't actually kill higher end devs in my understanding of the world, I'll be able to find a job. But, it will kill the social reproduction of people like me. In the same way that the iPad killed broad user-focused technological literacy from zoomers to millenials, LLMs will ultimately destroy the current level of developer-focused technological literacy. There won't even be guys who can't code their way out of a paper bag using StackOverflow or guys who memorize LeetCode solutions. It will just be old-heads powerful enough to avoid the cull and nobody else, until we die.

Every large coporation uses this method because they want to have fungible devs. Since developers with actual skill don't want to be treated as fungible cogs, the selection pressures ensure that people who can't get jobs with better conditions end up working in these places. They're just doing it to get a paycheck, and they basically bang their heads against the keyboard till something resembling working code falls out. I'll also remind you of the whole outsourcing craze which was basically exact same goal corps want to accomplish with AI now.

Damn that's crazy, imagine working a coding job for a paycheck! Soon you won't even be able to!