happy non-engineers will slowly transition into sad underpaid engineers

I've yet to use AI in my workflows. Nothing against it, but I haven't seen the value beyond maybe boilerplate code, in which case I prefer the tried-and-true copy, paste, and modify. Why have AI do that and introduce its own mistakes?

I have noticed younger developers using AI and sometimes I've had to help them with the mistakes it makes. It'll just come up with modules and function calls that don't exist. Felt like it was less precise version of stack overflow with less context awareness. Programmers that were too dependent on stack overflow were already coming up with poorly mashed together code and this may just be a more "efficient" version of that.

AI: spend hours finally figuring out the prompt that gets it to produce something specific. Eureka! 20 minutes later you use that prompt again to get that specific thing, but the moment's gone, it gives you a banana instead of the flamingo you were expecting

I spoke to a friend the other day that wanted some help with his dev project. I was surprised since he isn't a dev and doesn't even have a job in a tech related field. He said he wanted to make a simple thing and was using AI prompts to just fuck about a bit till he had something working. But he ran into some issues and wanted me to give him some pointers to get on the right track.

My man wanted to create a "simple" kanban system. I almost fell of my chair as he explained what he was wanting to create. A non devver isn't going to create basically a Trello clone within a couple of hours and some AI prompts. He started with a frontend and got something hacked together which wasn't really working or a good base to work from. And hadn't even considered he would also need some kind of backend. He never heard of the difference between frontend and backend and just thought apps were apps that did it all.

I explained for what he wanted he would need a team of 15-20 to work for a couple of years to make something good. Not really a thing people do in their free time. I know your nephew created an "app" in a weekend in a hackaton, that doesn't mean the world of software development is suddenly different from how it's always been. He was bummed out, but was happy enough to just use Trello. And he could always keep fucking around with AI devving for fun, just don't expect anything useful to come out of it ever.

Peoples perspective on software development is so weird these days. Especially since AI has come along, people just expect magic.

Missing an extra input of huge amounts of energy.

The “old pile of complexity” will be bigger, consisting of vaguely code-shaped papier-mâché constructions no human mind designed, which the harried engineers will have to maintain and figure out which parts work correctly. Oh, and there’ll be fewer of them and they’ll be paid less, because management knows that with AI, their job is much easier and less demanding.

Yeah except the sadder engineer pay should go up because lots of them will quit or retire early and the new ones aren't going to know how the pile of shit works by osmosis. Unionizing also wouldn't hurt.

AI: a stew of turds, mostly old problems wrapped in new problems for no good reason.

I think the AI code gen tools can be great. But, you have to understand and be able to take what they give you and actually build something coherent with them, because (at least with the current generation) they clearly have pretty firmly bounded limits to what they can generate and figure out.

I actually think this makes a huge advantage for the previous generation of engineers, who didn't grow up with them. Because we all spent time sitting around creating octree classes and ring buffers, new ones with incredible amounts of repeated effort for every new project, we actually had to learn to be comfortable with reading and understanding and writing code. The muscles had to get strong. I feel like, whether or not AI progresses (soon) to the point that it can make a whole codebase for you and it'll all work, the engineers who grew up having to develop strong coding muscles will always have some level of advantage.

It's like the old-school carpenters who can knock in a nail with 3 hammer strikes and have everything organized in their minds to have what they need in their tool bag every single morning and not have to go and get something new. You can always learn to use the power tools. You can't go back and force yourself through the time consuming apprenticeship to work out how to work without them, though, once they exist.

Shouldn’t the second panel go

person w/ pile -> AI -> apps

?