I distinctly remember around 2005-06, I had two friends who were school teachers who bought houses
I distinctly remember around 2005-06, I had two friends who were school teachers who bought houses
This wasn’t in a rural area or impoverish inner ring suburb. This was in an older but perfectly nice suburb of a large midwestern US city. I had two friends at the time who were just out of college and teaching in public schools. And they both bought houses. One had a spouse who was working (normal job, not high pay or anything) but the other was single. I know for a fact they didn’t have any help from parents. I do know they both had most of their school paid through scholarships so little to no college debt, fwiw. Went on google street view to check out the houses - not large but definitely comfy. Around 1,600-1,700 sq ft single family homes with a yard and everything. Something a small family would be comfortable in.
And I mean, I was looking at buying a home around that time, too (and for years afterward). My salary was above the national median but not that much above it. There were lots of options - the only reason I didn’t buy was because my life situation was not stable. I don’t live in that city anymore but looking at my salary now and what’s available on the market, buying a home is pretty much out of reach for me. Certainly what I could get now, in terms of square footage, is drastically reduced. I’m not even taking into account current interest rates, I was just plugging in numbers at the old 4%.
That’s how fast material conditions have eroded for a lot of Americans. This is what journalists who write this articles about “aww why are young people so down these days, they should just cheer up all that bad stuff is all in their head” completely miss. Probably because in all likelihood, they bought a house a couple decades ago and are secure themselves. It’s why the dems’ bullshit about how the economy is so great is so offensive to us. It’s a denial of reality.
Generational politics is bunk, but I also think inequality should be thought of along multiple axes. One is whether or not you bought a house 15-20 years ago or not. If you did, then you’re sitting on a mortgage that is relatively low which makes your material conditions comfortable. You’re not feeling the effects of the bad economy as much. If you’re under 30, then it’s not possible to be in that situation.
Admittedly, in the years just prior to 08 a lot of people who absolutely would not otherwise have been able to get a mortgage at all got approved for surprisingly large mortgages. If not for the sketchy subprime mortgages, the affordability crisis we have now would have happened about 15 years ago even with the lower prices.
In the lead up to 2008, I was hanging out in a bar with a happy hour crowd that was easily 90% mortgage people. The amount of stories I heard about people who wouldn't have otherwise qualified for a subprime, but they fudged paperwork or whatever to get them the loan, was obscene. And they had anybody doing it; They were basically running the equivalent of telemarketing boilerrooms for subprime mortgages. And the feigned ignorance when it all came tumbling down? Fucking disgusting.
it does sound like they in particular got mortgages that they were able to sustain. i'm not sure if that changes anything about your point, the subprime mortgage crisis was obviously brought about in this way by the many many people who got houses that weren't actually affordable to them overall, so perhaps that was a boon for those who didn't shoot so big. my parents bought a similar size home in a similar sort of area for $50k in the mid-90's, and now their neighbors sell for $200k+. but they also were offered much larger, stupider mortgages than what they actually understood to be affordable.
The wisdom used to be to buy as much house as you could get approved for because house prices COULD NOT go down
So banks approved every single application bc fuck it free interest and if anyone defaults the home is worth more than when they bought it. Repo it and resell it, can't lose
A bunch of people signed up for 5 year adjustable rate mortgages where you get a low intro rate and thus a low monthly payment but the whole thing comes due in 5 years in a so called balloon payment. Then you have to pay the balance or lose the house
No biggie of course before 5 years you sell out and collect the equity on your massive house, put it into the next down payment and rinse and repeat
Unless of course house prices go down 😉
There's no doubt a lot of middle class people built wealth this way that would have otherwise been locked out. But eventually many of them had the rug pulled out from under them.
It's notable that you could have the same effect with none of the downsides with government caps on property ownership and zero down subsidization of first time mortgages & direct government lending
A lot of the people who were able to sustain and pay off their mortgages also were only able to actually get them at that time because they were essentially throwing them at anyone with a pulse.
A big part of the current crisis is that there are many millions of people who are consistently making rent but are eternally going to be stuck renting because they cannot get approved for a mortgage, even if that mortgage would be cheaper than their existing rent.
Good point.
Things got so, so, so much worse after the 07 housing Crisis and Obama's betrayal of basically everyone in the aftermath. I think all the talk about "recoveries" and recessions since then is bullshit. We went in to an economic disaster and never came out, and all the "improvements" since then have been bullshit like using people doing gigs or working three jobs to massage the unemployment numbers.
I'll believe the economy is "good" again when grocery stores stay open all night and late night diners start opening up again. There's nothing good about an economy where people are so strapped for cash you can't keep a greasy spoon diner open.
The fact that the Obama years are looked at like the "good years" doesn't make them good years. It just means shit has gotten worse. Liberals are eager to rest on those laurels.
The high times were under dubya. Shit had already collapsed by the time Obama came in. Obamas admin bailed out the banks and left homeowners out to dry. We've never been the same since, and the Dems did irreparable harm to themselves. There's a reason all these swing states went hard right with trump
I'm 36 so I was leaving college at that time. And yeah, it was hard to get an entry level job in a way that hadn't happened before
But compared to now, it was a great time to be young. Starbucks paid 12 bucks an hour, you could make like 18 an hour answering phones, make 200-300 FOH most weekend shifts. Renting a room in South Philly was 500 bucks. A one bedroom in a non door man building was like 800. PBR was 1-2 bucks. I fed myself for 30 bucks a week.
It's significantly worse now than it was then.
I'm a little older than you and I 100% agree.
I lived in a duplex in college that I remember was for sale at the time. I have enough money in the bank right now to outright buy that duplex at the price it was back then.
Now I don’t even have ten percent of what I would need to pay for a down payment on the same house.
my spouse teaches, is compensated "well" for the us and the area, and that's just like, such a non existent pipe dream (buying a house). we are in our late 20's. no wonder i feel like i have to personally reinvent the middle way just to not **** myself, that erosion is ridiculous.My social studies teacher was a (small) landlord and was gonna retire with 1 million savings. I think had two houses and lived in one of them.
Worth mentioning that the landlording was wealth extraction no matter the scale.
I just went to look at the housing situation in this rural trash dump thinking I could atleast wistfully look at listings and think "maybe someday" but it just made me depressed.
I had a teacher in 07 who bought real estate and actually quit being a teacher in order to do that full time instead. The crash sent him back to being a teacher, which I mean lol he didn't get to be a landlord, but also imagine saving up for years to do something only to get slapped down by forces beyond your control.
I can't imagine buying a house at these prices and interest rates without it being speculation, and that means you must embrace all kinds of anti human ideas to protect and grow your property values, and therefore absolutely agree that number of years you have owned a house determines class.
My gf was talking about buying a house to move out of this apartment and she said our mortgage would be basically the fucking same so like basically I'd be even worse off than now financially because I'd either probably need to get a worse job in the middle of nowhere or drive like an hour a day to work where I'm at now