Every time there's a map like this my first instinct is to make a prediction. But I can't at all. Somehow - again - I've forgotten how hard I try to avoid paying attention to the Electoral College map. What a fucking stupid system.
There's no way anyone is right with confidence rn. Apparently Donny is still made of Teflon (fucking forever chemicals) and Biden probably needs to listen to the ICC before the younglings watch his war economy burn.
I wonder if Arizona burnt red too early. They had a lot of election denial fracases early on and I wonder if all but the kookiest will be fed up by November. Feels like the air is falling out of Kari Lake, for example.
yeah I think Trump will in all likelihood be the first repub since dubya to clinch Nevada. As others have noted, NM is wrong lol. Michigan I think Biden will be able to scrape by, despite the loss of the Arab vote. Trump I think will be able to win back Arizona and Georgia, thereby winning the election. So it will 265 to 272, which I think would be the closest election since 1850 something
Only one I think will be diff is PA, it's going red in my book. A few states that I think will be closer and possibly swing in the future: OR, VA, TX (eventually), MN. Purely vibes based here.